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Wal-Mart Beats, Shares Up

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

9:15am (EST)

Wal-Mart (WMT, $52.97) reported 3Q earnings before the bell that came in better than Wall Street’s expectations. The world’s largest retailer posted a profit of $3.24 billion, or $0.84 a share. Expectations were for 81 cents, so the company beat by 3 cents. For 4Q, Wal-Mart sees earnings coming in between $1.08 and $1.12 a share, versus estimates of $1.12.

On the negative side, revenue came in at $99.4 billion, up from $98.3 billion but the Street was looking for $99.9 billion. Folks, they may have missed revenue numbers…who cares. Look at how much money that is. In ONE quarter the company’s sales hit $100 billion you might as well say…wow.

In early morning trading…the stock…..is up. The stock did lose a little luster when the news first came out at 8:30am but it is shortly after 9am and the stock is showing a bid of $53.45 and the ask was $53.50. This was our retail play from yesterday and current subscribers appear to have a winner, winner chicken dinner on their hands…check the Members Area for the update.

As we head to press, Dow futures are lower by 27 which means we might be a little weak at the open today.

Tags: momentum options, MomentumOptionsTrading.com, option trading picks, options help, options mentoring, options track record, options trading, Priceline.com, trading options, Wal-Mart
Posted in Company Commentary, Earnings, Option Trades | Comments Off

Monday Morning Notes

Monday, August 10th, 2009

9:00am (EST)

We are looking at a slightly negative open with futures trading lower this morning. Around the globe, the Asian markets have posted impressive gains but the major European exchanges are experiencing a decline. As a result, Dow futures are currently down 39, or 0.4%, to 9,276. The S&P 500 futures are off by 5, or 0.3% to 1,001, while the Nasdaq futures are down 7, or 0.5%, to 1,612.

The Fed will be meeting on Tuesday and Wedneday but don’t expect any sweeping changes to interest rates. Bernanke will keep key interest rates steady, but concerns about inflation are starting to grow, which could eventually force the Fed to raise rates. Besides that, we will get a number of earning announcements from some of the biggest retailers this week.

Priceline.com (PCLN, $131.32) kicked things off this morning. The company said the total value of its bookings rose nearly 13% to $2.4 billion. Priceline said that travel demand for the summer peak season has been strong given the super deals that are floating out there. Shares are up $6 in pre-market trading.

McDonald’s (MCD, $55.20) should get a little pop at the open after saying global sales were up 4.3% in July. Specifically, U.S. sales were up 2.6%, Europe – 7.2%, Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa sales came in at a 2.1% increase.

Other earning announcements to watch for this week include Wal-Mart Stores (WMT, $49.29) and Macy’s (M, $15.99).

Rick@MomentumOptionsTrading.com

Tags: Macy's, McDonald's, Priceline.com, Wal-Mart
Posted in Market Commentary | No Comments »

More on General Motors – Update at 1:30pm

Friday, May 29th, 2009

1:30pm (EST)

Just wanted to add something to the blog below. The GM June 1 puts (GMVR, $0.61, up $0.07) have traded nearly 100,000 contracts as open interest has swelled to over 425,000 contracts. The put options opened at 57 cents today. The action is amazing and it remains to be seen what the outcome of a GM bankruptcy will mean for the market. Monday could be nasty for the market once the news is official.

12:50pm (EST)

General Motors (GM, $0.88, down $0.24) is under a buck and the writing on the wall will now be read by all on Wall Street. Two things I want to talk about. One is DO NOT buy the stock. Some people seem to believe that if they buy the stock and own it now, they own it when GM comes out of bankruptcy. That is not the case.

I remember years ago when I wrote about Kmart. The discount retailer entered Chapter 11 in 2002 and emerged from bankruptcy protection in 2003 with new stock. Kmart was a victim of Wal-Mart (WMT, $49.30, down $0.25) and Target’s (TGT, $38.65, down $0.49) success and GM failed to change when it should have changed 10 years ago. Some people wrote me asking why their old Kmart stock that had traded to zero wasn’t worth what the new stock was trading for.

This is actually a pretty common event when companies enter bankruptcy protection but when they reemerge, the new stock replaces the old stock and you have no ownership. As an owner of the stock right now, you will be the last in line for any “remaining assets” in case of a default or other business failure.

The other point I want to make is who will replace GM in the Dow? Names being mentioned are Aetna (AET, $26.79, down $0.01), Cisco Systems (CSCO, $18.24, down $0.27) or Goldman Sachs (GS, $143.22, down $1.43). There is also a push to add a transportation name like FedEx (FDX, $54.38, up $0.80) or United Parcel Service (UPS, $50.21, up $1.20).

My bet is Goldman as they will be one of the first, if not first, large bank to hand back TARP money, and will benefit from the increased capital markets activity. Whoever it is, there will be a sweet option trade on it that’s for sure. Once GM is dropped, brokerage houses, mutual funds and pension plans will be active in whoever replaces GM.

I also wanted to mention the move Freeport McMoRan (FCX, $53.73, up $1.52) has made over the last three days. The stock hit a low of $46 on Wednesday but has challenged double nickles today (high $54.45). I had mentioned a few call options on May 20th that have now turned positive. That was one of the last trades I covered before announcing our new trading service.

There was a slew of action this week and there were numerous trades that I wanted to talk about. We are still going to get some amazing price swings and stories in the stock market for the rest of the year. Our goal is to teach you what to look for and how to get a feel for the market so that you will be able to find your own trades.

We are going to be offering quite a few different strategies in our new trading service. There will be ultra-safe trades that aim to make you 5%-10% a month and the more riskier trades that can double or triple your investment. I had one reader email me today and said he invested $280 in Dendreon (DNDN, $22.28, up $0.28) call options and it turned into $7,700.

The best part though is that I will be showing you what to look for the next time Dendreon makes the list for an option trade. There will be some more action in Dendreon down the road and you will want to be there. You can by subscribing to the new service.

That’s it for today, but I really encourage you to send me an email over the weekend if you are interested in the program.

Rick Rouse
Rick@OptionsMentoring.com

Tags: Aetna, Cisco Systems, Dendreon, FedEx, Freeport-McMoRan, General Motors, Goldman Sachs, Kmart, options blog, Target, Wal-Mart
Posted in Commodities, Market Analysis, Option Trades, Strategies | No Comments »

Market Heads Lower

Tuesday, February 17th, 2009

The Dow opened with a quick 150-point loss and that nearly doubled as the index hit a low of 7,560 earlier in the session. We are currently at a 240 point loss and with the Dow right at 7,600 the November lows could come into play this week. That was almost a given and you can thank the European banks for today’s weakness.

We were stopped out of the Akamai Technologies (AKAM, $17.15, down $0.57) March 17.50 calls (UMUCW, $1.10, down $0.35) at $1.10 this morning. No need in fighting the market. Bank of America (BAC, $5.14, down $0.44) is getting whacked and Wal-Mart (WMT, $48.00, up $1.47) beat estimates.

Wal-Mart held support and I had mentioned the March 42.50 puts (WMTOV, $0.50, down $0.35) in last night’s Weekly Wrap. I would still stay away from these options but if Wal-Mart resumes in downtrend later in the week, these put options could get a little pop. You could do a half position here with exit points at 75 cents and stops at 25 cents if you really want to roll the dice.

The one bright spot continues to be gold and yes, we have our finger in that pie. The Spider Gold Shares (GLD, $95.41, up $2.86) are rallying 3% as gold is up another $30 an ounce this morning to $970.

The March 99 calls (GLDCU, $3.00, up $0.95) are up 45% and the March 100 calls (GLDCV, $2.70, up $0.90) are up 50%. Take note of the huge moves in the options with just a 3% move in the stock. Incredible.

We have been in the Spider trade for a couple of weeks now and today’s gains are hard to ignore. You could take half off the table here and set tight stops with the rest of your position to lock in gains. You would still participate in the move higher with the other half of your position.

Rick Rouse
Rick@OptionsMentoring.com

Tags: Akamai Technologies, Bank of America, Spider Gold Shares, Wal-Mart
Posted in Gold, Option Trades | No Comments »

Wal-Mart Gets Whacked

Thursday, January 8th, 2009

Wal-Mart (WMT, $51.52, down $4.02) is feeling the blues this morning as Wall Street is punishing the stock after the company cut its fourth quarter earnings forecast. The company now expects earnings of $0.91-$0.94 a share, versus a prior forecast of $1.03-$1.07 a share. Wal-Mart blamed bad weather and lower consumer discretionary spending for the lowered shortfall.

Although December same-store sales still rose 1.7% (excluding fuel), Wall Street was expecting a 2.8% increase. Even the world’s largest retailer couldn’t pull a rabbit out of the hat as both Wal-Mart and Sam’s Club saw slower traffic. For January, the company sees sales flat to up to 2%.

Shares of Wal-Mart Stores dropped nearly 10% to $50.31 shortly after the open, its biggest decline since February 2000. Wow. The stock did well in 2008 as it gained 25% by October, hitting $60 a share. Since then Wal-Mart has managed to trade in the mid to high 50′s but today it’s the one getting “rolled back” not the merchandise.

The market had a nasty session yesterday as the Dow gave back most of it gains for 2009 after Alcoa (AA, $11.01, up $0.12), Intel (INTC, $14.46, up $0.02) and Time Warner (TWX, $10.15, down $0.14) each made negative headlines.

Rick Rouse
Rick@OptionsMentoring.com

Tags: Alcoa, ntel, Time Warner, Wal-Mart
Posted in Company Commentary | No Comments »

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PETER G.
Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485

LAWRENCE O.
Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming.

C.J.
Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again!

SHAUN
Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

MICHAEL K.
I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good
profitable calls. Keep up the good work.

PARAG P.
Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!

JAY P.
Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN.

MIKE
Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

TRISH D.
Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

MIN L.
Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock!

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Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you!

GREG F.
Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

NOEL
I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

TODD F.
Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

PAUL H.
What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you!

NOEL
“Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ”

CHRISTIAN
“Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.”

JOHN
“I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.”

CHARLES M.
“I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.”

BRYAN C.
“I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.”

JOHN H.
“I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.”

JEFFREY
“Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.”

ED
“I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.”

GREG
“Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

KEN
“Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

GARETT
“Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

TERENCE
“Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”

Posts Tagged ‘Wal-Mart’

Wal-Mart Beats, Shares Up

Monday Morning Notes

More on General Motors – Update at 1:30pm

Market Heads Lower

Wal-Mart Gets Whacked