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MomentumOptionsTrading.com Weekly Wrap New Trade for 2/25/14

Tuesday, February 25th, 2014

12:05pm (EST)

We have a New Trade we are getting into for our Weekly Wrap newsletter.  We have followed the stock for years and we believe shares could double over the next 6-12 months.

The stock is just north of $3 and we have a Price Target of $6+.

We have a long history of recommending favorable biotech stocks and we believe our latest addition will be a triple-digit winner.

Subscribers, check the Weekly Wrap Premium section for the New Trade and we will be back shortly with our Daily.

Bulls Pushing Fluff

Monday, September 17th, 2012

9:00am (EST)

“We went on record in mid-August and said the market could move 5% in September and 10% by year-end up or down depending on the headlines which is why we showed you the 10-year charts again. 

The targets we gave were Dow 14,000 or 12,600 in September followed by 14,500-14,600 or 12,000 by year-end.  We said the S&P 500 could be at 1,500 or 1,350 next month which would lead to 1,550 or 1,275 by Thanksgiving/ Christmas.  We mentioned the Nasdaq could push 3,225-3,250 or 2,925-2,900 in September and then 3,375-3,400 or 2,800-2,775 on continued strength or weakness.

Last week, the market moved 2% on the ECB news but nothing is a given until Germany gives the green light on the ECB’s “plan” of a “conditional” bond buying program.  The austerity measures are stringent which may prevent Spain and other countries from applying for it right away.  Of course, nothing was really accomplished but it sounded like the printing presses were getting some fresh plates which should keep the debt-yields down on Italian and Spanish bonds.

The bulls were also helped by China which announced its own “QE” package with more than a trillion, or $160 billion, infrastructure spending program.  This pumped China’s stock market up by nearly 4% but they could be reporting some very disappointing economic numbers starting this week.  China wanted to announce some good news before it reported the other news over the weekend and into this week.   

U.S economic news is also heavy again this week but the market will be more focused on what Germany says about the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and the EFSF.  The news should be out before Wall Street opens.  The Fed is hoping Germany signs off on everything because they will meet on Wednesday with a statement on Thursday.

Given the weak jobs numbers, there is a lot of pressure on Ben Bernanke to do something but if Germany doesn’t approve Draghi’s new plan, Big Ben could stall as he is not willing to show his hand first but might have to. 

The jobs numbers from last week may have handcuffed the Fed or been a blessing as QE3 is still going to come sooner rather than later.  It is on Bernanke on when he wants to make it official and the market won’t know for sure how things will play out until week’s end.

We have said any negativity this week could cause a pullback and longer-term selloff but we wouldn’t be surprised if there was only a slight pullback to support and then a strong year-end Romney rally.  It will just depend on how things play out this week and for the rest of the month.

The U.S. debt ceiling will again be in focus over the next few weeks and earnings season will start back in October.  This means between now and the rest of the month, we could see more warnings as there have already been some high-profile names lowering guidance.

The charts are showing one last possible push to new highs and we will continue to try to play the momentum higher but we aren’t ready to go all-in.  At some point, the technical picture should take over instead of geopolitical news and events which will favor the bears.  In the meantime, the bulls are doing their best Pink Floyd by adding bricks to the wall of worry.” (from 9/9/2012 Weekly Wrap/ Monday Morning Outlook)…

The market made another strong push last week as the major indexes hit multi-year highs following the “good news” from the Fed and Germany.  All of last week’s major events went perfectly for the bulls after China got the ball rolling before Monday’s open followed by Germany signing-off on the ESM on Wednesday.  The big bat grand-slam swing came on Thursday from Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, whom many doubted would bring out the bazooka.  Wrong.  The Bernanke knew there was no bluffing this time as he waited for the rest of the world to commit first and, figuring he had the best hand, he is putting the U.S. all-in.  The call is $40 billion a month but this pot is going to get bigger and Big Ben has $40 billion more (a month) he can play poker with.  One thing is for sure.  The market is going to get very volatile from here on out.  

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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more please click here.  We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet and offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter.  Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis.  Together, we are 126-37 for 2012 which is a 77% win rate for all of our trade recommendations.

Last week we closed out a 160% winning call option trade on Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) and 2 Monster Beverage (MBST) put option trades that returned 113% and 55%, respectively.

Here are some more winners so far this year:  +576% on GMCR,+475% on AXP, +292% on COF, +171% on FSLR, +131% and +114% on 2 MGM trades, +200% on SGMS, +107% on AFL, +100% on STX, +82% on TSM and +125% on MSFT just to name a few. 

Our average trade recommendation usually last 3 weeks or less and we have closed some trades in as little as 24 hours.  We target triple-digit returns for all of our option picks for the Daily and double-digit returns for the Weekly Wrap.  We are excited about the last quarter of the year. 

If you are not yet a subscriber, come see why jaws are dropping for those who follow Wall Street and options trading.


Don’t Fight the Fed

Friday, September 14th, 2012

12:25pm (EST)

The most hated rally in history continues…

There is an old saying on Wall Street that says “Don’t fight the Fed” and going into this week, many of the suit-and-ties weren’t expecting much from Ben Bernanke.  The way the action was unfolding this week, we had a good feeling Big Ben would show his hand and call the quantitative easing bets made by the other zombies.

If Germany would have said no to more bailouts then Bernanke would have stalled but with the rest of world throwing in their chips, he had to call.  We aren’t sure what kind of hand will win this high-stakes poker game but the markets are rolling and we are glad to be a part of it.

This week has been sweet as we were able to close 2 more winning trades for triple-digit profits of +160% and +113%.  We also closed another option trade for 55%.  We also have a number of current trades that are showing strong gains today.  We have said September could be special and the final 3+ months of trading are going to be a fun ride.  Speaking of a fun ride – we knew there was a reason Randy Moss was back in the NFL this year!  We like to post this video every time the bulls make a jailbreak to new highs…

(We always get juiced when we play this one.)

Our last 16-out-of-18 closed option trades have been winners and we will have up to 10 more new option recommendations over the next few weeks.  Next Friday the September options expire and we mentioned a few weeks ago we were building our next batch of trades to play the market into October, November and December.

We also said this is becoming a “stock” picker’s market as we have used a mixture of calls AND puts since August.  Some of our other monster winners during our recent run include +100% on JCPenney (JCP, $28.89, up $0.23) put options, +193% on Wellpoint (WLP, $58.19, flat) call options, +160% on Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR, $31.03, down $0.42) call options, and 2 put option trades on Monster Beverage (MNST, $54.01, up $0.60) which returned our subscribers 113% and 55%, respectively.

Our 2012 Track Record for all of our trades (Daily and Weekly Wrap) is now at a sizzling 126-37.  We continue to rank as one of the highest option trading newsletters in the industry and we seriously doubt anyone can match our results.

Our point is, we hope you are ready for continued action because we plan to get really aggressive once the market becomes more volatile which it will in October.  If the market continues higher, there will be plenty more opportunities to play call options and down the road if there is a serious correction, which we think there will be, then the returns you can make will be mind-boggling.

We will have a lot to talk about this weekend and we have updated our trades one last time before we relax and watch the rest of the session.  As we head to press, the Dow is up 60 points to 13,600 while the S&P is higher by 8 points to 1,478.  The Nasdaq is showing a 32 point pop and is at 3,188.

We will be back Sunday night/ Monday morning with our next update so until then, have a great weekend everyone!

Pandora Media (P) Beats Estimates but Losses Continue

Thursday, August 30th, 2012

9:00am (EST)

The market followed it’s normal pattern of trading in a tight range with both the bulls and bears doing more talking than fighting on the lightest volume day of the year.  The good news is we only have another day of this before we could start to see some movement.

The Dow added 4 points to end at 13,107 after trading in a 63-point range.  The high was 13,144 while the low came in at 13,081 for the blue-chips. 

The S&P 500 was up a point and closed back above 1,410 by a half-point.  The index tested 1,413.95 to the high side and 1,406.57 on the low end. 

The Nasdaq advanced 4 points to finish at 3,081.  Tech traded down to 3,067 shortly after the open but rebounded to kiss a high of 3,087.   

Pandora Media (P, $9.97, up $0.12) held double-digits in extended trading last night after beating earnings expectations although the bottom line was another loss.  The company reported a loss of $5.4 million, or 3 cents a share, for the quarter compared to last year’s same period rink ink of $3.2 million, or 4 cents a share. 

Revenues were up over 50% to $101 million which is what kept shares from tanking to single-digits.  The suit-and-ties were expecting a little over $100 million in sales and ad revenue.  Another impressive figure was the number of listeners which has now grown to nearly 55 million

We have featured Pandora in our Weekly Wrap and recommended a covered call option earlier this year that made our subscribers 9% in 3 months.  

A 9% return may not sound like a “big” gain but annualized it would net 36%.  Considering savings and CD’s pay 1%-2%, we like our chances with covered calls which are a safer way to play options providing you own the stock as well.

We have put together another good week following yesterday’s closing of two “Half” positions which are currently showing gains of 236% and 58%.  Our plan is working accordingly as we said we would like the portfolio to be light heading into the Black Hole on Friday.

We may also have more Trade Alerts and a possible New Trade for you this morning so be on the lookout for possible updates between 10am-11am.

As we head to press, futures are showing a lower open and look like so:  Dow (-40); S&P 500 (-5); Nasdaq (-10).  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Market End Mixed as Fed Looks Ready

Thursday, August 23rd, 2012

9:00am (EST)

The bulls were comfortably holding support heading into yesterday’s Fed Minutes so unless they said something terrible, there was a good chance there would be a market bounce if their production meeting earlier this month yielded any clues on possible further quantitative easing.  Bingo.

The Fed said “many members judged that additional monetary accommodation would likely be warranted fairly soon unless incoming information pointed to a substantial and sustainable strengthening in the pace of the economic recovery”.

Apparently, they are discussing a number of ways to pump more money into the economy, including extending the Federal Funds Rate, which is near zero, beyond 2014.  Another grand idea was coming up with different guidance that was more directly linked to the economy or removing any guidance as to when the Fed Rate would increase.   

There was also talk of a new round of aggressive asset purchases that would help push down interest rates overall.  In the end it was all bull but it does appear the Fed is willing to pull the trigger, at some point, if they have too. 

The next Fed meeting is in mid-September which could be the last time they are able to do something ahead of the Presidential elections.  The Fed does not want to appear to favor one party or the other but Wall Street took yesterday’s minutes as good news as that the Fed is more likely to act sooner rather than later.

The rebound off the lows pushed positive territory by the close but the market ended mixed as the bulls and bears each got a piece of the pie.  If we were the official scorekeepers we would give the win to the bulls. (continued…)

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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more please click here.  We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet and offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter.  Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis.  Together, we are 118-36 for 2012 which is a 77% win rate for all of our trade recommendations.

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    The portfolios can be found in the Members Area as well as past portfolios from 2008-2011. Overall, we are 621-273 on nearly 900 real-time recommendations that equals a success rate of 70%. This means, on average, 7-out-of-10 of our option trade recommendations make you money and we hope to have an even better success rate for 2013.

    If you are missing these juicy profits, come give us a try. Get your password to our Members Area instantly when you sign up TODAY! One profitable trade will easily pay for your membership. You can request our 2008-2012 Track Records by sending us an email or filling out the box below.

Trader Comments:
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL. REGINA L.

    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help. STEVE T.

    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide. SCOTT H.

    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485 PETER G.

    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming. LAWRENCE O.

    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again! C.J.

    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace! SHAUN

    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good profitable calls. Keep up the good work. MICHAEL K.

    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!
    PARAG P.

    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN. JAY P.

    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You. MIKE

    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks. TRISH D.

    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock! MIN L.

    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you! JOE G.

    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming. GREG F.

    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade. NOEL

    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today. TODD F.

    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you! PAUL H.

    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ” NOEL

    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.” CHRISTIAN

    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.” JOHN

    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.” CHARLES M.

    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.” BRYAN C.

    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.” JOHN H.

    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.” JEFFREY

    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.” ED

    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.” GREG

    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.” KEN

    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.” GARETT

    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.” TERENCE

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    3/18/11
    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    2/3/12
    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

    Hi Rick,

    Wow!! my account it up 70% since i joined last month and market is going the opposite direction. Really appreciate your service. I just wanted to drop a note to say THANK YOU. Hope to be with you guys for a very long time. Mel

    Rick,

    Great call on Fosl I bought the may 120 puts for 3.70 yesterday morning just sold for $32.00 today
    Keep up the great work
    Thank you, Henri

    Rick –

    I bought 10 Deckers Outdoor (DECK) May 55 puts at $0.50 on 4/26/12 and sold them on 4/27/12 for $1.65. I made $1150 in one day. Thanks. I knew something good would happen sooner or later.
    HOW THE HECK did you know Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) was going to go down 20 points???!!!! I bought 10 of the May 35 puts at $0.49 and then 5 more at .30. I sold them at 5.80. Thank you again.
    You have made a believer out of me. Alan

    Rick –
    I have only been a member for about 6 weeks but I have done well on most of the trades. My first two were QQQ and SPY a month ago and since then I've gotten into the groove and been doing well.
    I try to execute the trades that you recommend as soon as you send them out, sometimes I can't and I miss the Entry price. However, sometimes when I miss the Entry, the price goes down and I get a better price.
    That's exactly what happened with GMCR.
    You recommended it at around $.81 I think, but by the time I got to it, the price was $.27. I bought 100 Puts on Wednesday May 2, 2012 and sold half of them 24 hours later at $5.95 for a nice 2,203% gain. As per your recommendation, as GMCR went above $30 I sold the remaining 50 Puts at $5.50 for a slightly less 2,037% gain.
    On average that one trade netted me a 2,120% gain, entirely based on YOUR recommendation (and a little bit of luck). To put this in real terms, I risked $2,700 on Wednesday and pocketed $54,550 just 24 hours later.
    So uhh, let's do that again real soon!!
    Feel free to use my name. The tax guys have me on speed-dial already anyway. Dennis

    Rick:
    That was awesome on your GMCR pick, I know how risky it can been holding into earnings but you pulled it off. 
    I just started my autotrading with you today and am in on your QQQ play. I look forward this service. 
    I have a busy career and I have tried to follow and trade throughout the day and found it too hard. I hope you continue to have a great year, I plan to go along for the ride. I am starting slow but will pile more in once I have secured some profits. 
    Keep up the good work your trading has been spot on. I am sure you paid your dues to get this point in your career. Anthony

    Rick:

    Great call on GMCR!  I have been trading for about 15 years actively.  This may be the best trade I ever made.  Got in on Monday, April 30 and the stock was up from when you recommended it.  It went up further after I got in.  Here are the facts:
    Monday, April 30th: Bought 15 June 37's at $1.25= $1900 approx
    Thursday, May 3rd: Sold 15 June 37's at $9.30=$13,950
    Gain for the week: $12,050.
    I understand you will not get them all right.  It’s important to ride those winners and as you could tell from my selling price, I sold when the stock went to $28.10, so left a little on the table.  Who can complain.
    Keep the suggestions coming, looking for another jump on your FSLR, one that I have been riding very hard.
    Best regards, Bob
      

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