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Posts Tagged ‘Priceline.com’

Intel/ AMD Kiss

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

12:50pm (EST)

Intel (INTC, $19.88, up $0.04) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD, $6.51, up $1.19) have buried the hatchet after agreeing to end all outstanding legal disputes between the companies, including antitrust litigation and patent cross license disputes.

This was certainly a surprise and as you can see, investors think AMD benefited the most.  And why wouldn’t they?  Intel will also be reaching in its pocket to pay AMD $1.25 billion.

Intel was up over $20 earlier this morning but is pretty much flat while AMD is holding its 20% pop.  Here is what the two companies had to say:

“While the relationship between the two companies has been difficult in the past, this agreement ends the legal disputes and enables the companies to focus all of our efforts on product innovation and development.”

Under terms of the agreement, AMD and Intel basically have a new 5-year cross license agreement deal and both parties will give up any claims of breach from the previous license agreement.

It would have been sweet to have gotten in the AMD November 5 calls (AMDKA, $1.50, up $1.09) YESTERDAY as they are up 265% today but don’t go chasing…

We were stopped out of our Wal-Mart (WMT, $53.57, up $0.60) trade this morning for a 17% profit but many of you wrote to say your returns were much better.  Some of you made upwards of 50% which brings up a good point.  We often get emails saying there is no way you can duplicate our portfolio results (which can be viewed anytime) but here is an example of where subscribers did make better returns.

It also happened with Priceline.com (PCLN, $199.77, up $2.97) as some of you made over 500%.  So, see, it all depends on the market and what YOU feel comfortable with and what your exits and entries are.

Look, we are going to put you in a lot of good trades and everybody is going to have different results.  Our goal is to make you money and you can never go broke by taking a profit.  If you take profits you always have another trade and that is what we do.  We trade and we don’t fall in love with a position.

The Dow is currently down 47 points to 10,243 as we head to press but we see some more trades on the horizon.  Current subscribers, please check the Members Area for the update on Wal-Mart.

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Wal-Mart Beats, Shares Up

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

9:15am (EST)

Wal-Mart (WMT, $52.97) reported 3Q earnings before the bell that came in better than Wall Street’s expectations.  The world’s largest retailer posted a profit of $3.24 billion, or $0.84 a share.  Expectations were for 81 cents, so the company beat by 3 cents.  For 4Q, Wal-Mart sees earnings coming in between $1.08 and $1.12 a share, versus estimates of $1.12.

On the negative side, revenue came in at $99.4 billion, up from $98.3 billion but the Street was looking for $99.9 billion.  Folks, they may have missed revenue numbers…who cares.  Look at how much money that is.  In ONE quarter the company’s sales hit $100 billion you might as well say…wow.

In early morning trading…the stock…..is up.  The stock did lose a little luster when the news first came out at 8:30am but it is shortly after 9am and the stock is showing a bid of $53.45 and the ask was $53.50.  This was our retail play from yesterday and current subscribers appear to have a winner, winner chicken dinner on their hands…check the Members Area for the update.

As we head to press, Dow futures are lower by 27 which means we might be a little weak at the open today.

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Homebuilding Stocks Get A Pop

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

1:00pm (EST)

Toll Brothers (TOL, 21.13, up $2.74) is up 15% today after surprising Wall Street with some rather upbeat comments ahead of its earnings.  The company said its new contracts are up over 40%, and that it expects 4Q revenue will top the Street’s expectations.

Revenue for the company is expected to come in at $487 million, well ahead of the market estimate of $386 million.  Comments from the CEO:

“We have definitely progressed from one year ago.  The shock to the financial system in mid-September 2008 that shut down the capital markets appears to be mostly behind us.

We have been cautious on the sector because we didn’t want to go long or short because of the uncertainty but this is the second straight quarter that Toll Brothers has said something “hot”.  Something to keep an eye on…

Toll Brothers is expected to release earnings on November 23rd.

Other stocks in the sector also got a bump; KB Home (KBH, $15.49, up $0.81), Lennar (LEN, $15.09, up $0.79) and Pulte Homes (PHM, $9.95, up $0.49) are all up over 5%.

We also wanted to update our trades one last time before we go today.  We got some breaking news on our retail trade that we just sent out.  Also, our Priceline.com (PCLN, $197.10, down $7.12) was closed as the $7.50 stop was taken out.  The official results for our 2009 portfolio shows a gain of 468%!

Current subscribers, please check the Members Area for the updates.

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MomentumOptionsTrading.com NEW TRADE for 11/11/09

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

11:30pm (EST)

Current subscribers, we have a NEW TRADE in the Members Area and it is a play on retail.

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Wednesday’s Wake Up Call

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

9:05am (EST)

The futures are pointing towards another strong open this morning as the market looks to add-on to its fresh highs for the year.  Dow futures are up 56 to 10,273, S&P 500 futures are up 7 to 1,099 while the Nasdaq 100 futures are up 15 to 1,788.

On Tuesday, the Dow closed at 10,246 and in Sunday’s Weekly Wrap we said the Dow could run up to 10,300-10,400 and that could easily be taken out this week if not today.  We still think we are in a ”trading range” but it will really get interesting for the bulls if they are able to break through the resistance levels we talked about.

Gold continues to surge to new record highs…$1117/ ounce.  We caught a little of that action with our Barrick Gold (ABX, $43.13, up $0.13) trade and the move in gold over the last few weeks has been astounding.  It seems like yesterday we were under a $1,000/ an ounce…

Before we go this morning, we wanted to profile the Priceline.com (PCLN, $204.22, up $30.49) trade we posted in the Members Area last Friday.  It has been a monster of a trade so far and it’s why we burn the midnight oil.  Here is exactly how the trade appeared in the update (quotes are from LAST FRIDAY):

1:35pm (EST)

NEW TRADE!!!

Priceline.com (PCLN, $170.98, up $2.97)

Buy to OPEN PCLN November 200 calls (PNEKA, $1.10, up $0.05)

Set limit prices at $1.10-$1.15 to get in the trade but do not pay more than $1.25 for the calls.

The last time the company reported earnings the stock jumped from $130 to $150.  We think Priceline.com is going to report strong Q3 results and a number of brokerage firms have recently raised their estimates and target prices.

This is an all-or-nothing trade as these calls will take a beating if the company misses earnings or the stock drops or even stays flat.  We are going to need a HUGE move for the calls to make us a double but there is the chance we could get a 50% pop if the stock runs higher…” (END)

Folks, those same call options, the November 200 calls (PNEKA, $9.00, up $7.50) reached a high of $12 yesterday!  That is nearly a 1,000% return if you were in at the bottom and out at the top.

Many of you wrote to us with great, funny and amazing results and we suggested leaving half positions open.  The trade is pretty much over now as all we have to do now is manage the stop.  Since we have already profiled the trade we thought we would share the update as well to give you a view on how we roll.  This is exactly how the trade appears in our Members Area this morning:


Priceline.com (PCLN, $204.22, up $30.49)

November 200 calls (PNEKA, $9.00, up $7.50)

Entry Price:  $1.10 (11/6/09)
Exit Target: $10.00 (closed half at $5.00 on 11/10/09)
Return: 536%
Stop Limit: $4, raise to $7.50

Action:  Wow.  Our jaws are still dropped…

We can’t tell you how excited we have been over the last 24 hours as many of you started writing to us at the start of yesterday’s opening bell.  The huge returns some of you have banked on this trade have been fun to read.  This was our biggest trade to date since we started MomentumOptionsTrading.com and it was our pleasure to bring it to you.

I wanted to take some time to explain how the return is set up.  If you had bought 10 contracts it would have cost you $1,100.  When our update went out yesterday the calls were at $5 when we said to close half.  That gives you $2,500.  The other 5 are worth $4,500 based on yesterday’s closing price.  That gives you $7,000 off a $1,000 trade.

Now, as far as the stop limit.  Wait to see where these calls open because we can possibly ride this one for further gains.  The $7.50 stop limit can be put in place if the calls OPEN over that.  If they open lower than $7.50 then you sell them at the open OR watch how they trade for a few minutes.  Either way, don’t give back your gains if the call options continue to fall.  The stock was up in after-hours last night but is currently down a buck in pre-market trading.

If you are a current subscriber, please check the Members Area for the rest of the trades.  We will be back at 1:00pm with another market update…


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Trader Comments:

    LAWRENCE O.
    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

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    SHAUN
    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

    MICHAEL K.
    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good
    profitable calls. Keep up the good work.

    PARAG P.
    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!

    JAY P.
    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN.

    MIKE
    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

    TRISH D.
    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

    MIN L.
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    GREG F.
    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

    NOEL
    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

    TODD F.
    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

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    CHARLES M.
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    ED
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    GREG
    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

    KEN
    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

    GARETT
    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

    TERENCE
    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”