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Posts Tagged ‘PAR’

Expect a Triple-Digit Dow Move on Friday

Thursday, September 2nd, 2010

1:30pm (EST)

You can almost feel the tension today between the bulls and bears as the market has stayed in a tight trading range.  The major indexes are showing slight gains as better-than-expected numbers on housing and retail have provided the bulls some ammo heading into Friday’s update on employment.

DJIA 15-Minute Chart

DJIA 15-Minute Chart

The National Association of Realtors said contracts to purchase homes rose 5.2% in July after hitting a record low in June while factory orders climbed 0.1% in July. 

The monthly report on jobs will be the biggie, of course, and it will be released before the market opens.  Although there is a little hiring going on in America, the numbers are expected to indicate an unemployment rate of 9.6%, up 0.1% from last month.  The market will be counting on the private sector for growth but they only hired 40,000 workers last month. 

In corporate news, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, $39.34, up $0.13) raised its bid to $33 a share for data storage provider 3Par (PAR, $32.85, up $0.77).  Dell (DELL, $12.40, up $0.28) had upped its offer to $32 a share in a last gasp effort to “outbid” HP but they don’t have the cash coffins to trump $33.

As we head to press, the Dow is up 2 points to 10,270 while the S&P 500 is advancing by 4 points to 1,084.  The Nasdaq is showing a 10 point gain and is at 2,187. 

We are watching the 1,075 level for support on the S&P 500 with 1,100 being a ceiling for today.  We should probably stay within that range for the remainder of the day but a break above or below these levels means somebody knows something ahead of tomorrow’s big news.

We established 3 new positions ahead of Friday’s unemployment report but we protected ourselves by going out until October with our trades.  You can bet tonight will be an uneasy night of sleeping but this is why we play the game.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.    

Futures Up on GDP Numbers

Friday, August 27th, 2010

9:10am (EST)

The market zigzagged for much of  Thursday’s session but there was trouble on the 2pm horizon after the Kansas City Fed spoke.  Things took a turn for the worse for the bulls after hearing the region’s manufacturing index fell to 0 in August, down substantially from July’s reading of 14.

The news sparked a fresh wave of selling which sent the major averages below support levels once again.

djia082710

The Dow finished with a loss of nearly 75 points, or 0.7%, closing at 9,985 and below the physiological 10,000 level.  Cisco Systems (CSCO, $20.70, down $0.51) led the Dow lower as the index settled below 10,000 for the first time since early July. 

csco082710

We mentioned in our Weekly Wrap there was a good chance the bears would take out 10,000 this week and now their cross-hairs are on 9,800.  The 10,000-10,100 area will now act as resistance today with 10,200 now the second layer of resistance going forward.    

The S&P 500 fell 8 points, or 0.8%, to finish at 1,047 and below its own support level of 1,050.  It was also the index’s first close under this level since July and 1,000 appears to be in play with a test to 950, possibly.

The Nasdaq got slugged for a double-deuce (22 points), or 1.1%, to settle at 2,118.  We mentioned yesterday that Tech will lead the way up or down and the index managed to stay above the 2,100 level, for now.  Our next near-term targets are 2,050 and if that level fails then the index could fall to 1,900 on panic selling. 

par082710

In M&A (merger and acquisitions) news this morning, Dell (DELL, $11.75,  down $0.04) announced that its bid to acquire 3Par (PAR, $26.03, down $0.73) for $27 per share has been accepted.  The offer beat out another bid from Hewlett-Packard (HPQ,  $38.22,  down $0.02) last night after HPQ trumped Dell’s re-raised offer of $24.30.

Look for HPQ to come back with yet another bid.

Futures are pointing towards a decent open after hearing the latest gross domestic product (GDP) numbers. GDP for the second quarter came in better-than-expected at 1.6%, down from 2.4%, previously, and exceeded expectations for growth of 1.4%.

As a result, the Dow futures are higher by 57 points to 10,024 while the S&P 500 futures are up 8 points to 1,052.  The Nasdaq 100 futures are showing a 13 point pop to 1,780 as we go to press. 

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Futures Up on More M&A Talk

Monday, August 23rd, 2010

9:00am (EST)

Futures are pointing towards a slightly higher open this morning as mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have once again taken center stage.

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, $39.85, down $0.91) has made a $1.5 billion bid for data storage provider 3Par (PAR, $18.04, up $0.01) this morning, just a week after rival Dell (DELL, $12.07, up $0.03) agreed to acquire the company for $1.1 billion.

hpq082310

Both HP and Dell have been looking to expand beyond personal computers and they see an attractive candidate in 3Par.  HP it will pay $24 a share to acquire the company, or a 33% premium over Dell’s bid of $18 a share.

Elsewhere, HSBC Holdings (HBC, $49.30, down $0.63) is in talks to buy a controlling stake in Nedbank Group from Old Mutual for as much as $7 billion.

hbc082310

Potash (POT, $149.67, up $0.84) is higher in pre-market trading and over $152 after formally rejected BHP Billiton’s (BHP, $67.44, dup $0.09) offer and is getting interest from other companies (and countries).

M&A activity continues to heat up in the dog days of August as companies with strong balance sheets and excess cash go on the hunt for bargains.  This positive catalyst could help the bulls’ case in holding current levels on the major indexes as potential acquisitions are a sign companies are confident the economy will grow and business will improve in the coming quarters. 

Ahead we head to press, Dow futures are up 25 points to 10,227 while the S&P 500 futures are up 4 points to 1,074.  The Nasdaq 100 futures are higher by 10 to 1,835. 

We have a lot to cover this morning as we have made some adjustments to our exit targets for some of our trades.  We also have a NEW TRADE we profile to replace a few that were closed from last week.

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

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Trader Comments:

    REGINA L.
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year
    of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL.

    STEVE T.
    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help.

    SCOTT H.
    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide.

    PETER G.
    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485

    LAWRENCE O.
    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming.

    C.J.
    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again!

    SHAUN
    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

    MICHAEL K.
    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good
    profitable calls. Keep up the good work.

    PARAG P.
    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!

    JAY P.
    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN.

    MIKE
    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

    TRISH D.
    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

    MIN L.
    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock!

    JOE G.
    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you!

    GREG F.
    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

    NOEL
    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

    TODD F.
    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

    PAUL H.
    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you!

    NOEL
    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ”

    CHRISTIAN
    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.”

    JOHN
    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.”

    CHARLES M.
    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.”

    BRYAN C.
    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.”

    JOHN H.
    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.”

    JEFFREY
    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.”

    ED
    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.”

    GREG
    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

    KEN
    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

    GARETT
    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

    TERENCE
    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”

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