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Posts Tagged ‘options mentoring’

Bears Crack Support, Bulls Hold into Close

Tuesday, December 3rd, 2013

9:00am (EST)

We mentioned in our midday update on Monday the bulls needed to watch for a bear attack into yesterday’s close and the assault came a little early instead of the final hour.  We covered the bear tracks that were left on Friday so we were prepared for some weakness to start the week but said the bulls needed to hold support.  They did for the most part but another blow by the bears could get the second layers of support in play. (continued…)


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Monday, December 2nd, 2013

9;00am (EST)

The bulls were on track to get their 8th-straight Dow Friday win but the bears used a shortened session to steal a victory after the bulls gave up a 77-point lead.  The blue-chips, along with the S&P 500 still ended higher for the week, and month, with Tech and the small-caps showing strength heading into December.  The month is usually bullish but we have mentioned the zombies will need to come up with another game plan by mid-December so there could be some volatility in the weeks ahead depending on how things play out.  This Friday is the Nonfarm Payrolls report that will certainly help sway direction so watch the VIX for extra clues. (Read More…)


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+213% OPK (LEAP) call options

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If you are not a subscriber but would like to get more, real-time trades, please click here.  We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet.  We offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter and our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis.

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+364% JC Penney (JCP) put options

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+300% Solazyme (SZYM) calls

+173% Big 5 Sporting (BGFV) calls

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Bulls Pushing Fluff Targets

Monday, October 8th, 2012

9:00am (EST)

“Although the bulls slipped again last week, September was a month to remember as the market rallied 4%, on average.  The indexes failed to make a run at our fluff targets but came close.  If there is a pullback or correction, these fluff targets could become yearend targets depending on how much damage the bears do. 

For the month, the Dow was up 347 points or 2.6% while the S&P 500 gained 34 points, or 2.4%.  The Nasdaq popped 50 points higher, or 1.6%.  For the third quarter, the Dow was up 4.3%, the S&P 500 was higher by 5.8%.  The Nasdaq popped 6.2% for 3Q.

We warned on Tuesday that the market had its first Friday/ Monday negative close in 6 weeks and Friday’s drop is cause for concern.  The trading range over the summer provided up and down Friday and Monday’s which is typical but if we get a lower Monday a trend change could be coming. 

We have one more week before earnings season starts and the laundry list of companies that have already pre-warned include:  Caterpillar (CAT, $86.04, down $0.88), Dow Chemical (DOW, $28.96, down $0.20), FedEx (FDX, $84.62, down $1.15), Ford (F, $9.86, down $0.16), Procter & Gamble (PG, $69.36, up $0.06), Norfolk Southern (NSC, $63.63, down $0.55) and U.S. Steel (X, $19.07, down $0.24).

Perhaps the bar has been lowered enough, again, that the companies that do beat estimates could prop the market up in October.  Our feeling is there could be a slew of companies that miss by a penny or two which is why they didn’t warn Wall Street.  If it’s more than that, the market could take a serious hit.  Alcoa (AA, $8.86, down $0.13) will be the first Dow component to announce and they will confess on October 9.  If shares are up this week, they could have a good quarter in store.  If shares trade lower, it could be a warning sign.

October has a history of famous stock market “crashes” so we did some research over the weekend.  Believe it or not, September is technically the worst month for stocks but October is more remembered because of scary Halloween’s and the “Black” days.

There are a few investors who may remember the first stock market crash back in 1929 and we were just a teenager when the market tanked in the 80′s which gave us an early lesson in life.  The message was not to ever take the market for granted because in one day things can go south in a hurry.  It is why we have always respected the bears and why we learned how to short stocks and how to use put options before we ever invested.

In 1929, the Dow dropped 11% intraday on October 24 falling from 305 the previous day before recovering to end the session down only 2%.   The day was labeled “Black Thursday”.  Four days later, “Black Tuesday” marked the start of the Great Depression as the Dow dropped 11% from a previous close of 260 to 230.

These two days were significant as the Dow tanked 25% in four days following Black Tuesday and 90% in 3 years after Black Thursday occurred.

In 1987, we remember October 19 which would become known as “Black Monday”.  The Dow was at 2,246 and plummeted nearly 23%, or 508 points, to end the session at 1,738.  Many investors took a tremendous hit to their 401K and retirement plans.

We were a teenager in the 1980’s and just getting our feet wet in the market.  Although we personally didn’t take a hit because we weren’t in the market in 1987, it taught us a very valuable lesson and that was to respect the bears.  It is also why we learned how to short the market and buy put options which served us well before the crash of 2000.

We aren’t ready to go on record to say there will be a “correction” or a crash this month but we have experienced several October storm clouds over the past 25 years and we typically LOVE them.  If there is panic, and the market does start to drop like a rock, buying puts will be very lucrative. 

We aren’t sure what the Vegas odds would be on a correction but with so many fundamentals looking bearish, it is something to think about.  We have defined clear support and resistance targets so if there is a breakdown or breakout, we should get a few warnings signs.”  (from 9/30/2012 Weekly Wrap/ Monday Morning Outlook)…

The bulls were held hostage by Spain’s pending bailout for much of the week but managed to push resistance during the morning hours.  The bears were in control of the afternoon sessions which lead to choppy trading but the bulls did a good job of holding their gains going into Friday’s Nonfarm Payroll report.

Some were calling Thursday’s pop the Romney Rally, which we coined back in early September, as the bulls were up 1% ahead of the news.  Presidential candidate, Mitt Romney did a great job in the Mile High city to get back in the race and he certainly wasn’t the only one questioning Friday’s unemployment rate which came in at 7.8%. (continued…)


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We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet and we are doing tremendously well for 2012.  Since mid-August, we have closed 19-out-of-21 winning recommendations.  We offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter and our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis and is 24-0.  Together, we are 133-45 (75% win rate) for both newsletters and we doubt you will find a hotter options trading service.  

Bulls Almost Get Clean Sweep

Thursday, October 4th, 2012

9:00am (EST)

The bulls managed to hold onto their gains during the final hour of trading on Wednesday as they once gain pushed resistance but came up short.  Since mid-September, the market has drifted lower but is still holding the first wave of support.  The lower trading range is still bullish until the second and third waves crack. 

The Wall Street pros who have been looking for a pullback of 3%-5% continue to call this the most hated rally they have ever seen but many of these knuckleheads are severely underperforming the major averages.  At some point the market will turn bearish but support has been super strong.  On the flip side, we believe if there is a pullback, it could be much worse than anticipated, which will make them think twice about buying a dip.  We could spend the rest of the week testing resistance but a breakout or breakdown is upon us.

The Dow was up a dozen points, or 0.1%, to finish at 13,494.  The blue-chips fell to a low of 13,439 but rebounded nearly triple-digits to reach 13,536.  However, it was another lower high and nearly a lower low for the week which is bearish.  Monday’s peak of 13,598 has been the closest to 13,600 the bulls have reached.  Support is at 13,350, followed by 13,200.  

The S&P 500 advanced 5 points, or 0.4%, to settle at 1,450 which was bullish.  The index traded down to 1,441 at the open but bounced back to a peak of 1,454 midday.  More importantly, the S&P held 1,450 which is serving as both near-term support and resistance.  They is a 25 point swing, or 2%, the bulls or bears are fighting over.  Any real estate above 1,475 favors the bulls for a continued run higher.  A move below 1,425 could cause a rush for the exits.  Monday’s high of 1,457 needs to be cleared by Friday while Tuesday’s low of 1,439 needs to be pushed by the bears.  These will be the clues we watch for today.  

The Nasdaq popped 15 points higher, or 0.5%, to end at 3,135.  Tech held steady at the start of trading after dipping to a low of 3,115 and managed to power its way up to 3,142 on Wall Street’s lunch break.  The index still fell short of kissing or clearing 3,150 which is bearish.  A close below 3,100 could cause a ruckus.  The Nasdaq closed at 3,093 on September 27 after touching 3,080.  These levels are only 1% away from triggering and with volatility picking up we need to watch for early clues of a breakdown.  Of course, if 3,150 is cleared, the bulls could make another run at our September fluff target of 3,200-3,250.

The Russell 2000 fell 2 points, or 0.2%, to close at 838.  The index made a run to 843 but the negative close was bearish.  The S&P Volatility Index ($VIX, 15.43, down 0.28) traded between 15-16 all session which was neutral. 

As you can see, we are still getting mixed signals on market direction which has lead to a choppy week.  

We wanted to take a quick minute to talk about the massive move in shares of Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT, $44.93, up 29.94) yesterday.  Biotech companies are one of our favorite sectors to research for option trades and we love discovering new companies with promising pipelines.  Shares of Sarepta soared 200% after the company announced positive results on its muscular dystrophy drug.

The stock opened at 31.81 and reached a peak of $45 into the close.  Some of the near-term option zoomed 700% or more on the news. 

We checked out the October 15 calls (SRPT121020C00015000, $29.40, up $26.00) shortly after the open to see what the previous day’s premium was and how much they were up.  The options closed at $3.40 on Tuesday when shares were at $14.99 which shows these options were already super inflated.

When a stock is a penny away from its strike price from being in-the-money on options that expire in a little over 2 weeks, the premium should be no more than 50 cents or else you are paying too much.

For example, shares of General Electric (GE, $22.91, up $0.12) are just under $23 and the October 23 calls (GE121020C00023000, $0.33, up $0.06) were up 20% on GE’s half-percent move yesterday.  In other words, Sarepta’s near-term almost in-the-money call options are are selling for 10 times those of GE.     

The easy money has already been made but remember option trading is all about getting the right price and not overpaying.

Futures are showing another higher open this week and look like this:  Dow (+36); S&P 500 (+5), Nasdaq 100 (+9).  We are close to closing another triple-digit winning trade this week and while we do have stops in place to protect profits, we are trying to squeeze a little more juice out of the call options before Friday’s close.

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates. 

Another Strange Session

Wednesday, October 3rd, 2012

9:00am (EST)

The market ended mixed again on Tuesday but this time it was the small-caps and Tech that finished positive while the blue-chips took a hit.  There was another push towards resistance by the bulls at the open but we mentioned the bears had momentum in our midday update as they also pushed support.

The Dow dropped 33 points, or 0.2%, to close at 13,482.  The blue-chips kissed a high of 13,567 shortly after the opening bell but once again never made a serious push at 13,600.  The low for the session came in at 13,424.  The Dow is still less than 1% away from 13,350 but also less than 1% from clearing resistance. 

The S&P 500 gained 1.26 points, or 0.1%, to settle at 1,445.75.  The index cleared resistance at 1,450, briefly, after trading up to 1,451.52 within minutes of the open.  However, the low came in at 1,439 which was lower than Monday’s intraday bottom.

The Nasdaq added a 6-pack, or 0.2%, and went out at 3,120.  Tech reached a peak of 3,131 but faded down to 3,101 with a little over an hour to go.  We have said how crucial the 3,100 level was this week for the bulls and it seems buyers came in right at support.  A break below 3,100 could get 3,050-3,000 in the mix real quick.

The Russell 2000 added a fifth of a point and was flat at 840 while the S&P Volatility Index ($VIX, 15.71, down 0.61) fell 4% and went out at its lows.

Futures are showing a slightly higher open this morning and look like this:  Dow (+15); S&P 500 (+2); Nasdaq 100 (+7).  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

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    The portfolios can be found in the Members Area as well as past portfolios from 2008-2011. Overall, we are 621-273 on nearly 900 real-time recommendations that equals a success rate of 70%. This means, on average, 7-out-of-10 of our option trade recommendations make you money and we hope to have an even better success rate for 2013.

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Trader Comments:
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL. REGINA L.

    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help. STEVE T.

    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide. SCOTT H.

    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485 PETER G.

    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming. LAWRENCE O.

    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again! C.J.

    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace! SHAUN

    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good profitable calls. Keep up the good work. MICHAEL K.

    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!
    PARAG P.

    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN. JAY P.

    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You. MIKE

    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks. TRISH D.

    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock! MIN L.

    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you! JOE G.

    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming. GREG F.

    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade. NOEL

    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today. TODD F.

    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you! PAUL H.

    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ” NOEL

    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.” CHRISTIAN

    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.” JOHN

    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.” CHARLES M.

    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.” BRYAN C.

    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.” JOHN H.

    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.” JEFFREY

    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.” ED

    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.” GREG

    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.” KEN

    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.” GARETT

    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.” TERENCE

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

    Hi Rick,

    Wow!! my account it up 70% since i joined last month and market is going the opposite direction. Really appreciate your service. I just wanted to drop a note to say THANK YOU. Hope to be with you guys for a very long time. Mel


    Great call on Fosl I bought the may 120 puts for 3.70 yesterday morning just sold for $32.00 today
    Keep up the great work
    Thank you, Henri

    Rick –

    I bought 10 Deckers Outdoor (DECK) May 55 puts at $0.50 on 4/26/12 and sold them on 4/27/12 for $1.65. I made $1150 in one day. Thanks. I knew something good would happen sooner or later.
    HOW THE HECK did you know Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) was going to go down 20 points???!!!! I bought 10 of the May 35 puts at $0.49 and then 5 more at .30. I sold them at 5.80. Thank you again.
    You have made a believer out of me. Alan

    Rick –
    I have only been a member for about 6 weeks but I have done well on most of the trades. My first two were QQQ and SPY a month ago and since then I've gotten into the groove and been doing well.
    I try to execute the trades that you recommend as soon as you send them out, sometimes I can't and I miss the Entry price. However, sometimes when I miss the Entry, the price goes down and I get a better price.
    That's exactly what happened with GMCR.
    You recommended it at around $.81 I think, but by the time I got to it, the price was $.27. I bought 100 Puts on Wednesday May 2, 2012 and sold half of them 24 hours later at $5.95 for a nice 2,203% gain. As per your recommendation, as GMCR went above $30 I sold the remaining 50 Puts at $5.50 for a slightly less 2,037% gain.
    On average that one trade netted me a 2,120% gain, entirely based on YOUR recommendation (and a little bit of luck). To put this in real terms, I risked $2,700 on Wednesday and pocketed $54,550 just 24 hours later.
    So uhh, let's do that again real soon!!
    Feel free to use my name. The tax guys have me on speed-dial already anyway. Dennis

    That was awesome on your GMCR pick, I know how risky it can been holding into earnings but you pulled it off. 
    I just started my autotrading with you today and am in on your QQQ play. I look forward this service. 
    I have a busy career and I have tried to follow and trade throughout the day and found it too hard. I hope you continue to have a great year, I plan to go along for the ride. I am starting slow but will pile more in once I have secured some profits. 
    Keep up the good work your trading has been spot on. I am sure you paid your dues to get this point in your career. Anthony


    Great call on GMCR!  I have been trading for about 15 years actively.  This may be the best trade I ever made.  Got in on Monday, April 30 and the stock was up from when you recommended it.  It went up further after I got in.  Here are the facts:
    Monday, April 30th: Bought 15 June 37's at $1.25= $1900 approx
    Thursday, May 3rd: Sold 15 June 37's at $9.30=$13,950
    Gain for the week: $12,050.
    I understand you will not get them all right.  It’s important to ride those winners and as you could tell from my selling price, I sold when the stock went to $28.10, so left a little on the table.  Who can complain.
    Keep the suggestions coming, looking for another jump on your FSLR, one that I have been riding very hard.
    Best regards, Bob

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