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Monday, November 28th, 2011
9:00 (EST)
The market continued its recent slide as the bears had their best bull feast in nearly 80 years as Wall Street fell 5% last week. The recent selling pressure became much more serious as all of the indexes fell below their 50-day moving averages (MA) with the bears stretching their winning streak to seven-straight sessions.
The headline news read like a Vegas betting parlor as a number of European countries face further risks of defaulting. Germany was the latest country which showed a chink in the armor after trying to raise $6 billion euro but was only able to raise a little over half of it. Spain also went to the well and was successful in its bond auction but the yields came at a hefty price. Italy faces a huge crisis in 2012 if they can’t raise more dough, and they are trying, but it’s costing them an arm-and-leg.
The news here at home continues to come in better-than-expected and this week will be big with a number of month-end reports due out. As far as the charts, they have been stretched which often happens when headline news trumps the technical picture. The bears have clearly had the advantage and at some point there will be a rebound but until Europe can figure out its mess, the market will be held hostage.
The Dow slipped 26 points, or 0.2%, to finish at 11,232 on Friday’s shortened session. We went into the week looking for 11,600 to hold but that level was taken out on Monday. Our next downside targets were 11,400 and then 11,200, which held, but there is risk down to 10,800 this week if current levels don’t hold. If the bulls can get past 11,400 (black line, purple circles) then they could make a run back towards 11,600 and then 12,000 but the news has got to be awfully good. For the week, the Dow dropped 564 points, or 4.8%, and is now down 346 points, or 3% YTD…
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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more about where the market is headed and to take a closer look at our chart work along with our current trades, please click here. Since early August we have made 48 recommendation, both calls and puts, and have hit on 40 out of 48 trades for a winning percentage of over 80%! Some of our recent winners include:
+169% on Joy Global (JOYG) call options in 2 days
+137% in Research In Motion (RIMM) put options in 3 weeks
+130% in Spreadtrum Communications (SPRD) call options in 4 weeks
+164% in FedEx (FDX) put options in 6 days
+184% in Goldman Sachs (GS) put options in 5 days
+191% in O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) call options in 17 days
+100% in VMWare (VMW) call options in 4 days
We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet. We offer powerful call and put option trades aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter. Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis. Sign-up now and receive access instantly!
Futures are pointing towards a strong start for today’s session and look like this: Dow (+255), S&P 500 (+34), Nasdaq 100 (+53). We recommended 4 new trades on Friday and after two weeks of being patient and building new positions, hopefully we get the surge we have been expecting. Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.
Tags: Dow, Momentum stocks, stock options trading advisors Posted in Apple, BioTech, China, Commodities, Company Commentary, Covered Calls, Earnings, Economic News, Entertainment Stocks, European Union (EU), Financial Stocks, Futures, Gold, Google, Hot Stocks, IPOs, Market Analysis, Market Commentary, Mergers and Acquisitions, Money Management, Oil, Option Trades, Rick's Account, Sectors, Stock Earnings, strangle option trades, Trade Update, Trading Psychology, Trading Tips, Uncategorized, VIX, Watch Lists, Yahoo / Microsoft | Comments Off
Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011
9:00am (EST)
The charts held up and backed our support targets on Monday but by no means are the bulls out of the woods. We would rather not talk about all of the political drama from the last two trading sessions and for that matter the rest of the week. Although it will be important to keep track of the ongoing events, and we will, we would rather focus your attention on the numbers. Sometimes, if you block out all of the noise, it helps and the charts will tell you where the market is headed.
Although support and resistance do get stretched, especially in times of high volatility, it is important to have a plan. Our plan has been to build a few positions during the market’s recent waterfall as a number of high quality stocks have been hammered but we know we could get caught. However, we are using protection and using put options as well and we are taking smaller positions until we see the flood.
Heading into yesterday’s action, we told you to watch for Dow 11,400 if 11,600 failed to hold. The index was easily headed for a triple-digit loss at the open and tested a low of 11,457 before Wall Street went to lunch – down 338 points. The blue-chips ended the day with a decline of nearly 250 points, or 2.1%, to settle at 11,547. We would have rested a little easier had the Dow closed above 11,600 but the real test will come at 11,800 providing there is a bounce.
The S&P 500 dropped 23 points, or 1.9%, to finish at 1,193. The index traded to a low of 1,183 but held our 1,175 downside target. A break below this level would have us buying put options as a test down to 1,150-1,125 would likely follow. A close above 1,200 today would be a major accomplish for the bulls to get near 1,225 again. Now, this is important to remember, and we will use the S&P to walk you through our thoughts.
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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more and check our chart work for the Dow, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq please click here. We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet. We offer powerful call and put option trades aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter. Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis. Sign-up now and receive access instantly!
Tags: Dow, futures, stock options trading advisors Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off
Friday, November 18th, 2011
9:00am (EST)
The market continued its most recent pattern this week, opening lower with the bulls battling back to even by midday, but finishing lower with harder selloffs into the close. Europe’s woes have been a headache which could become a migraine if the knuckleheads of the Super Committee can’t have something on the table by next Wednesday.
The group of six is in charge of trimming our country’s spending as the deficit just tripped $15 trillion by Thanksgiving and the early word is that the bickering has already begun.
Yesterday’s economic news was superb as Initial Claims came in under 400,000 once again, dropping 5,000 to 388,000 from the previous week. The 4-week average is also below 400K for first time since April. The Philly Fed number of 3.6 was a slight disappointment but it was still positive while home Building Permits jumped over 10% to 653,000 units.
We will have more on the Housing sector in our afternoon update along with a little story on “insider trading” which is apparently legal in this country if you work for the government.
As far as the market, the indexes came down to support so today and next week will be the big test for the bulls.
The Dow got whacked for 135 points, or 1.1%, to finish at 11,770. After falling thru our first target of 11,800, the index tested a low of 11,676 but held our line in the sand at 11,600. A close above 11,800 would be a win today although the bears would easily win the week.
The S&P got spanked for 21 points, or 1.7%, and closed at 1,216. The selling pressure picked up once 1,225 cracked but we were counting on 1,200 to hold. The low came in at 1,209 and we would like to see 1,225 or better stick for today’s close.
The Nasdaq got taken to the woodshed after dropping 52 points, or 2%, to settle at 2,587. We were hoping 2,600 would hold but we braced for a test down to 2,575. We had white-knuckles when the index reached a low of 2,576 but we held on as we new 2,550 would hold.
We also have a few November options that are coming down to the wire so we may send out Trade Alerts this morning to take profits, hopefully. One thing good came out of yesterday’s selloff. We were able to keep our winning streak intact as it stretched to 32-straight with the closing of a call option trade that banked our subs 91%.
We also have a couple of important charts we want to cover this morning so it will be important if you are a subscriber to check them out inside our Members Area. We do a pretty good explanation of writing about support and resistance but we wanted to follow-up from Tuesday’s charts to give you a crystal clear picture of how we see things shaking out.
Futures are showing a strong start to today’s session and look like this: Dow (+60), S&P 500 (+7), Nasdaq 100 (+9).
Tags: Dow, S&P 500 Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off
Wednesday, November 9th, 2011
8:45am (EST)
Europe’s head honcho’s are falling faster than dominoes as Greece’s Prime Minster dropped first followed by Italy’s – once their austerity budgets pass. Unfortunately, the US will have to wait until 2012 to get some new knuckleheads in office but hopefully they are business people who can create jobs. In any event, we mentioned yesterday in our midday update the action has been hot in the afternoon and the bulls plowed ahead right on cue.
The Dow rolled higher by 102 points, or 0.8%, to finish at 12,170. The index reached a peak of 12,187 and we said to watch for a run to 12,200 first, followed by 12,350.
The S&P jumped 15 points, or 1.2%, and closed at 1,275-and change. The high was 1,277 and we penciled-in 1,300 Sunday night/ Monday morning in our Weekly Wrap.
The Nasdaq popped 32 points, or 1.2%, to settle at 2,727. We said a run to 2,750 was possible this week and we are halfway there – with the bears living on a prayer.
The push to the next layer of resistance was nice but futures are pointing towards a nasty open this morning which means we will test support again. We had 2 new trades we were looking to get into this morning but let’s see how the action plays out.
Also, be on the lookout for possible Trade Alerts if we close any current recommendations or need to make any adjustments. For those of you who are trading course members, we did a video late last night that is 25 minutes long so we wanted to send today’s morning issue out a little early so you have plenty of time to prepare for today’s action.
As we head to press, here’s the deal: Dow futures (-223); S&P 500 futures (-30); Nasdaq 100 futures (-45).
Tags: bear market, bears, blue-chip stocks, bulls, Dow, Dow quotes, gold quotes, momentum, momentum options, Nasdaq, option mentoring, option trading course, S&P 500, VIX Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off
Tuesday, November 8th, 2011
2:10pm (EST)
The action today has been mixed as the bulls took the early lead to push the market higher while the bears are playing catch-up. Wall Street seemed a little uneasy this morning as traders waited on a key vote in Italy’s parliament which ousted its Prime Minister. Silvio Berlusconi, who has a history of shady doings and dealings and he isn’t seen in the brightest light, failed to win an absolute majority which was really no big surprise – although he did win ratification of the budget.
The big concern for Italy will be who replaces him. It is just the latest chapter in the eurozone debt crisis which we said could dominate the headlines for the remainder of 2011.
The indexes have stayed in a tight trading range today as a result which could last into the close unless there is a final hour rally by bulls which we think is likely.
The Dow is up 11 points to 12,079 while the S&P 500 is higher by 3 points to 1,264. The Nasdaq is showing a 10 point pop and is at 2,705 which is bullish.
We are close to adding a few more new trades but we want to close some current ones out, first. We are on the verge of taking profits on a couple more names so we don’t need to push the action. For those of you who have our trading course, we will be doing a video tonight on a few trades that could make our Watch List in the next day or two.
Remember, upgrade to a 1-year membership, save money (you save 25% over the monthly rate), and get our trading course, How to Trade Options on Momentum Stocks, at no charge, along with our ongoing videos. Shipping is also on the house.
Let’s get ready for a push higher, subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.
Tags: bear market, bears, blue-chip stocks, bulls, chicken option trade, chicken trade, Dow, Dow quotes, gold quotes, Google call options, Google+earnings, momentum, momentum options, Nasdaq, option mentoring, option trading course, S&P 500, straddle option trade, VIX Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off
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Bulls Walking on Thin Ice
Monday, November 28th, 2011
9:00 (EST)
The market continued its recent slide as the bears had their best bull feast in nearly 80 years as Wall Street fell 5% last week. The recent selling pressure became much more serious as all of the indexes fell below their 50-day moving averages (MA) with the bears stretching their winning streak to seven-straight sessions.
The headline news read like a Vegas betting parlor as a number of European countries face further risks of defaulting. Germany was the latest country which showed a chink in the armor after trying to raise $6 billion euro but was only able to raise a little over half of it. Spain also went to the well and was successful in its bond auction but the yields came at a hefty price. Italy faces a huge crisis in 2012 if they can’t raise more dough, and they are trying, but it’s costing them an arm-and-leg.
The news here at home continues to come in better-than-expected and this week will be big with a number of month-end reports due out. As far as the charts, they have been stretched which often happens when headline news trumps the technical picture. The bears have clearly had the advantage and at some point there will be a rebound but until Europe can figure out its mess, the market will be held hostage.
The Dow slipped 26 points, or 0.2%, to finish at 11,232 on Friday’s shortened session. We went into the week looking for 11,600 to hold but that level was taken out on Monday. Our next downside targets were 11,400 and then 11,200, which held, but there is risk down to 10,800 this week if current levels don’t hold. If the bulls can get past 11,400 (black line, purple circles) then they could make a run back towards 11,600 and then 12,000 but the news has got to be awfully good. For the week, the Dow dropped 564 points, or 4.8%, and is now down 346 points, or 3% YTD…
************************
If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more about where the market is headed and to take a closer look at our chart work along with our current trades, please click here. Since early August we have made 48 recommendation, both calls and puts, and have hit on 40 out of 48 trades for a winning percentage of over 80%! Some of our recent winners include:
+169% on Joy Global (JOYG) call options in 2 days
+137% in Research In Motion (RIMM) put options in 3 weeks
+130% in Spreadtrum Communications (SPRD) call options in 4 weeks
+164% in FedEx (FDX) put options in 6 days
+184% in Goldman Sachs (GS) put options in 5 days
+191% in O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) call options in 17 days
+100% in VMWare (VMW) call options in 4 days
We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet. We offer powerful call and put option trades aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter. Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis. Sign-up now and receive access instantly!
Futures are pointing towards a strong start for today’s session and look like this: Dow (+255), S&P 500 (+34), Nasdaq 100 (+53). We recommended 4 new trades on Friday and after two weeks of being patient and building new positions, hopefully we get the surge we have been expecting. Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.
Tags: Dow, Momentum stocks, stock options trading advisors
Posted in Apple, BioTech, China, Commodities, Company Commentary, Covered Calls, Earnings, Economic News, Entertainment Stocks, European Union (EU), Financial Stocks, Futures, Gold, Google, Hot Stocks, IPOs, Market Analysis, Market Commentary, Mergers and Acquisitions, Money Management, Oil, Option Trades, Rick's Account, Sectors, Stock Earnings, strangle option trades, Trade Update, Trading Psychology, Trading Tips, Uncategorized, VIX, Watch Lists, Yahoo / Microsoft | Comments Off