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Earnings in Focus/ New Trade!!!

Tuesday, February 18th, 2014

1:20pm (EST)

The market has traded in a tight range to start the shortened week following Monday’s day off as the bulls and bears feel each other out.  February has seen extreme daily triple-digit swings in the Dow and today’s action is just a pause in what should continue to be a volatile month.  Evidence of this is a rising VIX in a slightly up market.

Although economic news will be important this week, we looked at nearly 50 charts on possible option earnings trades.  Narrowing this down to 20 to sift out a Watch List was challenging but getting it down to 10 possible money making trades was the fun part.  If you haven’t logged into the Members Area to study the charts, do so now as it will make you a better trader.

This is also options expiration week as the February options expire on Friday.  This means the February calls and puts are “cheap” as the premiums were zapped following a 3-day weekend.  The “fluff” in some of the overpriced options have come down but the high-beta stocks still sport expensive options and make trading earnings on some of these stocks more riskier.

Our portfolio is light so we do have room for 1 or 2 earnings trades this week but we also have some candidates for March and April on stocks that have already been through the earnings cycle.  This helps taking some of the volatility out of the trade as the companies have already their numbers and guided forward.

We also have a put option trade we are eyeballing on a stock near 52-week lows.  Shares are currently just south of $46 following today’s 1.5% decline (or $0.75) and the 52-week low is just north of $44.  We believe by April or May, this well-known company will warn of an earnings miss in April as they are losing customers hand-over-first.

We will try to do a video on the stock for those of you that have purchased our options trading course, How to Trade Options on Momentum Stocks, or upgraded to the 1-year special deal over the weekend.  The response was overwhelming and thank you for the support.  Remember, the options course is an $899 value and is yours at NO CHARGE if you upgrade to the 1-year deal with the coupon code we offered over the weekend.  If you have not received your options trading course by now, after upgrading in December or January, please email our support team as all of them have shipped over the past 2 weeks.

As we make turn, the Dow is down a point to 16,153 while the S&P 500 is up 3 points to 1,841.  The Nasdaq is higher by 28 points to 4,272 (another fresh 13-year high) while the Russell 2000 is surging a 12-pack to 1,161.  The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX, 13.99, up 0.42).

We have a New Trade we are getting into so we have to roll.  We have also updated our current trades.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the action and stay locked-and-loaded into the close as we could have additional Trade Alerts.

Big Week For Bulls and Bears

Tuesday, February 18th, 2014

9:00am (EST)

The market continued its incredible comeback as the bulls quieted talk of an impending collapse by rallying back to prior resistance and January highs.

The action for February has been breathtaking to say the least and has Wall Street frustrated.  The bears used the last 5 trading sessions in January and the first 3 of this month to push November lows while the bulls have used the last 8 trading days to push January and new highs.

The results have produced mixed returns for the year but it appears as though the bulls could push record highs again before the speed bumps turn into possible potholes down the road.  (continued…)


Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2013:

+364% JC Penney (JCP) put options
+300% Solazyme (SZYM) call options
+263% Regeneron (REGN) call options
+201% Salesforce (CRM) call option
+206% Goodyear Tire call options

We had 27 triple-digit winners and 23 (50%+) on 217 trades.

Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2012:

+575% Green Mountain puts
+500% Taser call options
+475% American Express call options
+464% Arena call options
+292% Capital One calls
We had 31 triple-digit winners and 17 (70%+) on 199 trades

Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2011:
+1,167% Rambus option trade
+357% RIMM option play
+296% Freeport option trade
+19% O’Reilly
+184% Goldman Sachs
We had 21 triple-digit winners and 12 (70%+) on 154 trades

Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2010:
+525% Adobe call options
+297% Akamai Tech
+190% Nike call play
+177% Best Buy option trade
+150% Green Mountain
We had 19 triple-digit winners and 6 (70%+) on 115 trades

Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2009:
+1150% RIMM option play
+552% Google call options
+556% RIMM option trade
+567% Bank of America
+335% IBM call options
We had 79 triple-digit winners and 19 (70%+) on 238 trades

Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2008:
+1,057% Google call options
+867% AIG put options
+588% Budweiser takeover play
+400% Chipotle Mexican Grill
+347 Merck option play
We had 65 triple-digit winners and 13 (70%+) on 142 trades

We are off to a great start for 2014 (15-1) and we believe this year could be one of the most lucrative years ever to trade options as volatility will only increase.  The recent downtrend has investors worried but playing a market correction is the same as trading the market when it is rallying.

Our top winning recommendations in 2014 so far have been short of jaw-dropping to say the least:

+817% Galen Biopharma (GALE) call options
+183% Ariad Pharmaceuticals (ARIA) calls
+103% Aruba Networks call options is 15-1 for all of our stock option recommendations for 2014.  Enter your can email address to get a copy of our Track Records.


Bulls Take a Breather

Wednesday, February 12th, 2014

2:35pm (EST)

Following 4 days of gains, the market has struggled in its drive for 5 as we head into the final hours of trading.  The bulls made an opening push and officially cleared key resistance levels on a few more of the indexes but that pop has faded.

The market could regain some traction once the zombies officially raise the debt-ceiling as they will vote sometime in the next hour or two to approve the deal ahead of the approaching snowstorms.  The Republicans moved up the vote to ensure that its members could get out of Dodge before flights were canceled.

There were no policy attachments to the debt-ceiling increase as the Head Zombie said there would be no deal if there was.  In other words, his pen and his phone weren’t moving if there were snags so the Republicans caved-in.

The Dow is down 30 points to 15,964 while the S&P 500 is off a half-point to 1,819.  The S&P did clear 1,825 after trading to 1,826.  The Nasdaq is up 11 points to 4,202 and has triggered 4,200 after kissing 4,212.  The Russell 2000 is higher by 4 points to 1,133.

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates .

Market Gellin’ for Yellen/ New Trade!!!

Monday, February 10th, 2014

1:30pm (EST)

Futures were showing a slightly mixed open for Wall Street today when we were doing our chart work last night and remained that way ahead of the European open.  Futures were slightly weaker ahead of the opening bell and suggested today could be a wait-and-see session with flat action as the market awaits Janet Yellen comments on Tuesday.

We mentioned this would be her first testimony to Congress on the state of the economy and Wall Street is eager to hear her comments.  Traders seem tentative to take long or short positions ahead of the event and the market has followed suit.

The charts are showing an upside of possibly 2%  this week but we don’t see a breakout to new all-time happening this month.  Instead, we see more weakness over the near-term but that could change if the bulls clear the next waves of resistance.

If you haven’t taken the opportunity to study our charts, please do so by logging into the Members Area.  It will help you become a better trader and it will also keep your emotions in check as volatility will only increase.  Like the Great One said, you have to skate to where the puck is going to be and not follow it.

The Dow is down 18 points to 15,775 while the S&P 500 is lower by a point to 1,796.  The Nasdaq is higher by 11 points to 4,137 and the Russell 2000 is declining 3 points to 1,113.

As we wait for the volatility and choppiness to play out, we are in great shape to play the market’s next major TREND as our portfolio is light.  We do have a few put options trades that are getting a nice bounce today and we have a few remaining call options trades open that are hanging in there.  We also have a NEW TRADE today.

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Bulls Push 2nd Wave of Resistance

Friday, February 7th, 2014

1:40pm (EST)

Futures were showing a strong open for Wall Street this morning ahead of the overseas market and before the Nonfarm Payrolls report came out.  It was a good indication the market might move higher but once the news was released futures sold off.

Dow futures had made a 100-point swing from the midnight high up until our morning update.  However, once the Nonfarm Payrolls report was digested, futures turned positive again and the bulls are having a good day.

The suit-and-ties were expecting a number north of 185,000 jobs added but we figured something in the 125,000 range.  The official numbers were 113,000 jobs added.

Obviously, the cold weather had a lot to do with the disappointment but the zombies are saying it didn’t as other parts of the country were not affected.  In any case, the unemployment rate fell to 6.6% but not because of job growth.  It’s because more and more people are dropping out of the workforce and aren’t being counted.  The government says unemployment is at its lowest levels since October 2008 but their math is always funny.

We mentioned Thursday’s action showed some bullish signs for a continued back test and with today’s gains, the bulls are pushing the next layers of resistance.  These levels served as major support prior to the January and Monday breakdown.

Today’s action is again bullish and the close will be important as the bulls need to hold or advance current levels.  Monday will be even more important to see if there is a continued follow through.

Our portfolio is light after locking up 2 more profitable trades this week.  We have room to add up to 5-10 new trades but with the rebound off the lows, we need to be careful.

We should get better clues next week if the rally continues and the next wave of resistance clears.  If so, we may look at call options but we believe there could be additional selling pressure ahead so we want to check the charts over the weekend before putting new money into play.

The Dow is up 118 points to 15,747 while the S&P 500 is gaining 17 points to 1,790.  The Nasdaq is advancing 53 points to 4,110 and the Russell 2000 is higher by 9 points to 1,113.  The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX, 15.49, down $1.74) is down 10% and is pushing 15.

We have some last minute updates on our current so let’s get on it.  We will be back Sunday night with the Weekly Wrap and on Monday morning with the Daily.  Until then, have a great weekend everyone!

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    The portfolios can be found in the Members Area as well as past portfolios from 2008-2011. Overall, we are 621-273 on nearly 900 real-time recommendations that equals a success rate of 70%. This means, on average, 7-out-of-10 of our option trade recommendations make you money and we hope to have an even better success rate for 2013.

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Trader Comments:
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL. REGINA L.

    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help. STEVE T.

    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide. SCOTT H.

    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485 PETER G.

    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming. LAWRENCE O.

    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again! C.J.

    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace! SHAUN

    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good profitable calls. Keep up the good work. MICHAEL K.

    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!
    PARAG P.

    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN. JAY P.

    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You. MIKE

    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks. TRISH D.

    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock! MIN L.

    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you! JOE G.

    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming. GREG F.

    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade. NOEL

    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today. TODD F.

    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you! PAUL H.

    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ” NOEL

    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.” CHRISTIAN

    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.” JOHN

    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.” CHARLES M.

    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.” BRYAN C.

    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.” JOHN H.

    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.” JEFFREY

    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.” ED

    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.” GREG

    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.” KEN

    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.” GARETT

    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.” TERENCE

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

    Hi Rick,

    Wow!! my account it up 70% since i joined last month and market is going the opposite direction. Really appreciate your service. I just wanted to drop a note to say THANK YOU. Hope to be with you guys for a very long time. Mel


    Great call on Fosl I bought the may 120 puts for 3.70 yesterday morning just sold for $32.00 today
    Keep up the great work
    Thank you, Henri

    Rick –

    I bought 10 Deckers Outdoor (DECK) May 55 puts at $0.50 on 4/26/12 and sold them on 4/27/12 for $1.65. I made $1150 in one day. Thanks. I knew something good would happen sooner or later.
    HOW THE HECK did you know Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) was going to go down 20 points???!!!! I bought 10 of the May 35 puts at $0.49 and then 5 more at .30. I sold them at 5.80. Thank you again.
    You have made a believer out of me. Alan

    Rick –
    I have only been a member for about 6 weeks but I have done well on most of the trades. My first two were QQQ and SPY a month ago and since then I've gotten into the groove and been doing well.
    I try to execute the trades that you recommend as soon as you send them out, sometimes I can't and I miss the Entry price. However, sometimes when I miss the Entry, the price goes down and I get a better price.
    That's exactly what happened with GMCR.
    You recommended it at around $.81 I think, but by the time I got to it, the price was $.27. I bought 100 Puts on Wednesday May 2, 2012 and sold half of them 24 hours later at $5.95 for a nice 2,203% gain. As per your recommendation, as GMCR went above $30 I sold the remaining 50 Puts at $5.50 for a slightly less 2,037% gain.
    On average that one trade netted me a 2,120% gain, entirely based on YOUR recommendation (and a little bit of luck). To put this in real terms, I risked $2,700 on Wednesday and pocketed $54,550 just 24 hours later.
    So uhh, let's do that again real soon!!
    Feel free to use my name. The tax guys have me on speed-dial already anyway. Dennis

    That was awesome on your GMCR pick, I know how risky it can been holding into earnings but you pulled it off. 
    I just started my autotrading with you today and am in on your QQQ play. I look forward this service. 
    I have a busy career and I have tried to follow and trade throughout the day and found it too hard. I hope you continue to have a great year, I plan to go along for the ride. I am starting slow but will pile more in once I have secured some profits. 
    Keep up the good work your trading has been spot on. I am sure you paid your dues to get this point in your career. Anthony


    Great call on GMCR!  I have been trading for about 15 years actively.  This may be the best trade I ever made.  Got in on Monday, April 30 and the stock was up from when you recommended it.  It went up further after I got in.  Here are the facts:
    Monday, April 30th: Bought 15 June 37's at $1.25= $1900 approx
    Thursday, May 3rd: Sold 15 June 37's at $9.30=$13,950
    Gain for the week: $12,050.
    I understand you will not get them all right.  It’s important to ride those winners and as you could tell from my selling price, I sold when the stock went to $28.10, so left a little on the table.  Who can complain.
    Keep the suggestions coming, looking for another jump on your FSLR, one that I have been riding very hard.
    Best regards, Bob

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