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Wednesday, January 13th, 2010

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Thursday, August 20th, 2009

If you’d like to be alerted when there are new posts to our blog, you can follow us on Twitter. Thanks!

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- Rick

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Trade Updates

Wednesday, August 12th, 2009

9:25am (EST)
 
Bank of America (BAC, $15.85, down $0.83)
 
November 17.50 calls (BYOKZ, $1.20, down $0.30)
 
Entry Price: $1.25 (8/10/09)
Exit: $1.25 (8/11/09)
Return: 0%
Stop: CLOSED
 
November 20 calls (BYOKT, $0.56, down $0.14) 
    
Entry Price: $0.50 (8/10/09)
Exit: $0.57 (8/11/09)
Return: 14%
Stop: CLOSED
 
Action:  We closed out the Bank of America call options because I didn’t like what I was seeing with the Financials.  The stock was higher in the morning session on Tuesday and when it started to fade we closed the trade.  Like I said yesterday, these were “rollover” positions from an earlier trade but there was too much risk heading into the FOMC meeting to stay long.
 
Visa (V, $68.61, down $0.27)
 
August 70 calls (VEHHN, $0.70, down $0.30)
 
Entry Price: $1.60 (7/27/09)
Exit: $0.80
Return: -50%
Stop: CLOSED
 
Action:  We saw this one coming and I said last week it looked like we were going to have trouble with $70.  We probably should have closed this trade sooner but our stop wasn’t hit until Tuesday.  Still, it’s okay to close a trade early if you gut tells you that you are fighting a losing battle. 
 
Imax (IMAX, $9.11, up $0.06)
 
September 7.50 calls (IMQIU, $1.75, up $0.05)
 
Entry Price: $1.90 (8/4/09)
Exit Target: $3.00
Return: -8%
Stop: $1.00
 
March 2010 12.50 calls (IMQCV, $0.50, up $0.05)
 
Entry Price: $0.45 (8/10/09)
Exit Target: $1.00+
Return: 11%
Stop: None
 
Action:  Well, you want the good news or the bad news, first?  Let’s go with the bad.
 
After the bell last night, Imax announced another stock offering.  The company is selling about 6 million shares at $8.50 which should give Imax another $50 million to pay down debt.  In after-hours trading the stock was down 55 cents to $8.56.
 
You have to hand it to Imax though.  They are striking the iron while it is hot.  The company just announced its first profitable quarter in three years and will use the money to pay down some debt.  So it was a good move and hopefully the new shares will have a warm welcome.
 
The September calls will take a hit, no doubt, but keep your eyes on the prize.  We have the March 12.50’s as a “cheap” out-of-the-money” play that will do well if Imax can trade to $15-$20 in 8 months.
 
PowerShares QQQ’s (QQQQ, $39.26, down $0.34)
 
August 40 calls (QQQHN, $0.31, down $0.19)
 
Entry Price: $0.65 (8/7/09)
Exit: $0.30 (8/11/09)
Return: -54%
Stop: CLOSED
 
Action:  We took the wrong side of this trade on Friday after the bulls had a good week.  I was expecting a follow-thru on Monday but the market has been nervous all week. 
 
Wells Fargo (WFC, $26.89, down $1.75)
 
September 26 puts (FHUUZ, $1.35, up $0.50).
 
Entry Price: $1.30 (8/11/09)
Exit Target: $2.60
Return: 4%
Stop: $0.65
 
Action:  We dumped BofA to go short Wells Fargo so we will see how this plays out.  We don’t need a huge move to the downside to make money with the put options.  Short-term I’d like to see the stock test $25 this week so we can make it a quick trade if need be.
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Bank of America Dips Then Rebounds

Monday, August 10th, 2009

11:20am (EST)

Sometimes you get in a zone and it feels like you know how a stock will trade like the back of your hand.  Bank of America (BAC, $16.83, up $0.41) is one such stock and here is what I said last night in the Trade Updates for Bank of America:

“The November 17.50 calls (BYOKZ, $1.40, down $0.16) and the November 20 calls (BYOKT, $0.66, down $0.12) could be used as a replacement for the 15’s.  Target $1.25 as an entry price for the 17.50’s but they could be considered a buy up to $1.50 if BofA runs again this week.  For the 20’s set a limit price of 55 cents and don’t pay no more than 75 cents.”  (END)

Well, if you followed that game plan, you are up nearly 50% in less than two hours.  The November 20 calls (BYOKT, $0.77, up $0.11) opened at 50 cents so if you had set your limit orders before the market opened, you should have gotten filled.  The stock hit a low of $16.16 this morning…

The November 17.50 calls (BYOKZ, $1.58, up $0.18) opened at $1.25 so you should have been filled right around this area as they traded to a low of $1.23 and the difference in the bid and asking prices are only a few cents.

It’s nice to get filled at your limit prices and the opportunities to make money in this stock right now are incredible.  Expect to see continued flucuations in the shares but BofA is showing all signs that it wants to go to $20.

The Fed meetings will also have an impact on this trade so we will have to see how things shake out. 

Rick@MomentumOptionsTrading.com

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Futures Higher After Jobs Report

Friday, August 7th, 2009

8:35am (EST)

I posted a little early this morning as I was anxious to get the morning outlook as soon as the jobs report was released. Heading into the announcement this morning, market futures were lower. Ahead of the report, Dow futures were coming off their lows and were down 7. As soon as the numbers were released, they soared. Up 30 and then 50 to 60 within a minute.

The Labor Department’s report was expected to show job losses were improving and it did. Wall Street had expected a number of around 320,000. We got 240,000. Pretty good. The surprising number helped the futures, no doubt, as it was the best monthly number since August of 2008.

The slowdown in job cuts comes as companies are likely done with their largest cost-cutting initiatives that have helped offset sagging sales and slipping revenues. Should be an interesting open…

Sometimes the best trades are the ones you talk yourself out of. Earnings season is tricky and we have done well with a number of trades recently and have avoided the traps that most novice option traders make when earnings season rolls around. Each option trade is unique in itself and one of my first thoughts with Nvidia (NVDA, $13.12, down $0.28) was their upcoming earnings announcement.

It is hard to get “excited” about a company that is expected to report a loss which is what Nvidia reported after yesterday’s close but there was an opportunity for a trade before the announcement which is what we did. The August 13 calls (UVAHM, $0.75, down $0.30) were profiled at 80 cents and most of you got out around $1.00. See how the options fell going into yesterday’s close?

In after-hours last night, the stock was up $1.18 to $14.30. This morning, the stock is trading at $14.10. The calls should open around $1.25 if that price holds. Don’t open new positions, I was just teaching the newbies how options and earnings work. It is an unpredictable game which is why we do a lot of in-and-out trades. We are winding down our positions and it looks like we are headed higher at the open.

Rick Rouse
Rick@MomentumOptionsTrading.com

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Trader Comments:

    LAWRENCE O.
    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

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    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming.

    C.J.
    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again!

    SHAUN
    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

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    MIKE
    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

    TRISH D.
    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

    MIN L.
    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock!

    JOE G.
    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you!

    GREG F.
    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

    NOEL
    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

    TODD F.
    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

    PAUL H.
    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you!

    NOEL
    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ”

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    JOHN
    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.”

    CHARLES M.
    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.”

    BRYAN C.
    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.”

    JOHN H.
    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.”

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    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.”

    ED
    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.”

    GREG
    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

    KEN
    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

    GARETT
    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

    TERENCE
    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”