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Archive for the ‘Trading Psychology’ Category

Bulls Looking for Weekly Win

Friday, January 6th, 2012

12:55pm (EST)

The market is following much of the week’s current trading pattern by opening lower and working its way back to even as we enter the second half of trading.  We will go over the jobs numbers in our Weekly Wrap and the other happenings on Wall Street but we have too much to talk about it our Members Area as we set up our New Trades with targets and stops.

This morning’s weakness, hopefully, created a nice buying opportunity as we watched support stick like glue.  We took advantage of the dip to open a bevy of new positions that have gotten off to a nice start.

We also have a busy weekend as well as we are going to try to get a video out for you that will cover our new trades, where the market is, and a look ahead at 4Q earnings which start next week.

Folks, if you really want an option education and you want to learn how the market rolls then you really should consider the upgrade to our 1-year deal.  Remember, you can get our Daily and Weekly for an incredible deal and you will also receive our option trading manual, How to Trade Options on Momentum Stocks, which includes ongoing videos, at no cost (an $899 value!).  These videos have been a big hit with our subscribers and we have gotten many comments on how much better they see the market and our trades.  We also cover trades that aren’t in the newsletter as we show our subscribers how to “think outside the box”.

Our goal is to make YOU a great option trader as you learn from us.  The option courses you see the suit-and-ties selling for thousands of dollars are a joke which is why we wrote a real option trading manual which includes a Momentum Options Watch List for hundreds of stocks to help get you organized.  The special offer will only last thru this weekend.  We realize many of you are just getting back from the holidays and back into the swing of things so we extended the offer for another week.  The information you learn will last you a LIFETIME and you can use to play the market whenever you feel like it.

We continue to feel a push higher to resistance and the July highs will come but we are cautious.  It’s kind of like riding a roller coaster but now that we have gotten through a few profitable trades to start 2012, the ride is just getting started.

As we head to press, the Dow is down 20 points to 12,395 while the S&P 500 is off by a point to 1,280.  The Nasdaq is up 9 points to 2,678.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates and we hope to see the rest of you Sunday night.  Until then, have a great weekend everyone!

Gold Dips Below 200-Day MA

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

1:20pm (EST)

It has been an “all bears” week so far as the market continues to slide on a falling euro and rising Italian bond yields.  The global markets are still unimpressed with Europe’s efforts to stem their debt crisis which forced Italy to pay a euro record high yield of nearly 6.5% to sell five-year notes.

The bulls continue to give up ground and today has been a full fledge breakdown as commodities like copper and gold are also tanking. 

Gold is often considered a safe haven and has rallied on market pullbacks throughout 2011 but that trade is no longer working.  We don’t trade as much as we use to in the sector and we were right earlier this year when we said gold would run to $2,000 an ounce before pulling back.

The yellow metal reached a peak of $1,923 an ounce in September but is at $1,582 an ounce today, down $80.  Gold’s 200-day moving average (MA) is currently at $1,614 and we wouldn’t be surprised to see a test down to $1,450 before a rebound.  However, if this level holds, gold could be a buy at current prices.

We came into the week expecting a pullback but we also held out hope on the Fed which we thought could sprinkle a wrinkle on new stimulus measures to offset the effects of the European crisis – but that didn’t happen.

The good news is we are right near the support levels we have outlined at the beginning of the week which is create a buying opportunity for either calls or put options.  We have averaged nearly 3 trades a week for 2011 but we have only opened 3 trades since the beginning of the month.

We also have some older positions from the massive profitable run that we had from August through the end of October.  We closed 44-out-of-52 winning trades but we will have a few positions expiring this week that will likely make this 44-out-of-60 winning trades.

Come next Monday, we will only have a handful of trades open, and some of which we have already closed half profits in.  This means we will have room up to 10-15 trades and the market should be exactly where we want it to be.

We have been building our Watch List with both calls and puts and we are looking at January, February, April and June options.  There is still a massive move coming and we will see the Dow at 11,000 or 13,000 come the end of January.  We are still favoring calls because we are still bullish and the put options have gotten EXPENSIVE which is another reason we have sat on the sidelines. 

We said in early November when the market reached resistance we could have a pullback and since then we have been in a 4-week trading range.  This is exactly how the market acted in July and August before the huge rally back to the top.

This time, we could either follow the same pattern and surge higher over the next 30 days – or – the market could test its August lows.

The Dow is currently at 11,859, down 95 points, while the S&P is off 10 points to 1,215.  The Nasdaq is showing a decline of 38 points and is at 2,540.

Subscribers, pay close attention to this morning’s Watch List and we will be adding a few more candidates tonight as possible breakout or breakdown plays.  Stay locked and loaded and get the wheelbarrow out because we plan to make you some bank.

Bears Run For Cover

Thursday, December 1st, 2011

9:00am (EST)

“Whatever method you use to pick stocks (or options)…your ultimate success or failure will depend on your ability to ignore the worries of the world long enough to allow your investments to succeed.  It isn’t the head but the stomach that determines the fate of the stock (or option) picker” – Peter Lynch with help from us

When we said in August that volatility would be here for a while, we weren’t kidding.  In November, we reiterated that statement and said we could see even bigger price swings in the market.  Now do you believe us?

Following last week’s debacle to the downside, this week’s surge has erased all of those losses, and then some, after a number of positive developments hit Wall Street before the bell on Wednesday.  The Dow futures lit up like a Christmas tree at the crack of dawn after being down triple-digits overnight.  The bad dream we had of a market crashing because of the Keystone Kops in Europe disappeared once we woke up.  Whew!  What a relief!  Big Ben saves the day again.

The bulls went ballistic after the announcement by the global central banks to strengthen the existing “swap lines” which will allow them to provide dollars to domestic banks as needed.  You can bet Ben Bernanke had a smile on his face after the suit-and-ties learned the Federal Reserve, along with our good neighbors, Canada; and England, the ECB, Japan and Switzerland were acting together to strengthen the existing swap lines…(read more) 

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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more and check our chart work for the Dow, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq please click here.  We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet.  We offer powerful call and put option trades aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter.  Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis.  Sign-up now and receive access instantly!

Futures are flat as we head to press.  Dow futures are down 16 points while the S&P futures are down 2 points.  The Nasdaq futures are up a point.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the trade updates.

Bulls Rebound Off Lows

Tuesday, October 4th, 2011

1:00pm (EST) 

We have a mixed market and we may have hit a temporary bottom.  We could see a dead-cat bounce today but we aren’t worried.  We have locked in profits and set HARD STOPS on the other half of our positions. 

We have been sleeping weird hours over the past few weeks as we try to get a read on the overseas markets while at the same time trying to see how our markets will react to the bevy of news that continues to embellish Wall Street.  It has paid off.

We have often said trading is for the long haul and since we have started Momentum Options, we have never had a losing year.  At times, trading ranges and headline breaking news have whipsawed us out of positions but overall we continue to cover the market’s moves like grass on dirt.

We often get asked why some years were better than others but here is the bottom line.  Choppy markets are hard to trade and all we try to do is stay even by playing calls and puts.  Trending markets is when we make our bank and we usually trade more contracts than usual because a clear trend is in place.  Over time, we have winning streaks and losing streaks but when we tell you a TREND is in place, we usually stay hot.

With the market coming down to our next wave of support targets, there is still more downside risk, but we are also seeing GREAT setups for future CALL option trades.      

We will cover more tomorrow but for now we have to roll.

As we head to press, the Dow is down 67 points to 10,588 while the S&P is up 3 points to 1,102.  The Nasdaq is higher by 30 points to 2,365.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates and more Profit Alerts!  We may also release a NEW TRADE today so stay tuned…

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2012 Closed Trades:
    Our updated 2012 Track Record is now at 85-18 for an 82% win rate. We have closed 24-straight winning option trades since late March!

    Despite the recent volatility, we have given more "locks" to our subscribers than a Vegas bookie. If you started with a $10,000 trading account, our CLOSED option picks would have made you over 600% by now. In other words, YOUR $10,000 option trading account would be worth over $70,000 as we have become one of the most powerful option newsletters in the business. Our biggest trade of the year so far was hit in early May when shares of Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) fell 50% after an earnings miss which made our subscribers 576% on the put options!

    We DON"T count "half" closed trades twice, or "third" closed trades three times like other option newsletters do. Some option services will fluff their Track Records up by using these smoke-and-mirror tricks. They will also "average down" a losing trade in hopes of it coming back then will record the "average" price of the trade when it was really 2 bad trades. Most option websites DON'T have track records and say they give 300% winners. The devil is in the details.

    We don't play these types of games which is why we have the most dedicated subscribers in the business because we have earned their trust. We have recommended 103 trades, 85 winners, 18 losers for 2012. Pretty simple and pretty powerful. We also have verified auto-trading partners who trade our recommendations for your account if you cannot watch the market. They will also tell you how good and how honest our service is.

    Here are some of our other profitable triple-digit recommendations: Capital One (COF) call options +423% in 8 days, American Express (AXP) call options +310% in under 7 days, magicJack (CALL) call options +80% in 3 days, Microsoft (MSFT) call options +124%, STX call options +100% in 2 weeks, +114% and +131% on 2 MGM Resorts (MGM) call options trades in 3 weeks, +158% on Zynga (ZNGA) call options and +107% in Aflac (AFL) call options in 6 days. We also had a +200% winner with Scientific Games (SGMS). Some of our double-digit gains include +58% on WPRT calls, +80% on TSM and +38% on INT call options.

    Our Weekly Wrap is 35-0 since the start of 2011 and is 17-0 for 2012. Some of our winners include +55% on Solazyme (SZYM), +27% on Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE), +38% on Vivus (VVUS), +17% on MGM, +18% on Dendreon (DNDN), and +20% on Darling (DAR). Despite what the suit-and-ties say, you can make incredible gains trading the RIGHT covered calls.

    Over the past 5 years we are averaging a 75% winning percentage for all our trades despite volatile, flat and choppy markets. Come see why some of Wall Street's pros are following us instead of the Journal!

    Here are some of our profitable 2011 recommendations: ORLY call options +191%, VMW call options +100%, JOYG call options +169%; GS put options +184%; FDX put options +164%; OXY put options +74%; +137% on RIMM put options, +1,167% on RMBS puts in 11 days, +296% on FCX calls; +157% on ZAGG calls; +110% on LNKD puts; +133% on RLD put options.

    You can also request our Track Records to see all years by entering your email address which will allow you access to the portfolios.

    If you are missing these juicy profits, come give us a try. Get your password to our Members Area instantly when you sign up TODAY! One profitable trade will easily pay for your membership. You can request our 2008-2011 Track Records by sending us an email or filling out the box below. 665 Total Trades; 459 WINNERS or 7-out-of-10.


2008 - 2010
Track Record
94.05%
73% winners
Results are NOT compounded.

Request our detailed Track Records which are updated in our Members Area. As soon as you sign-up for a subsciption, you will have access to all open and closed trades for 2011 and past years.

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Trader Comments:

    REGINA L.
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year
    of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL.

    STEVE T.
    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help.

    SCOTT H.
    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide.

    PETER G.
    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485

    LAWRENCE O.
    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming.

    C.J.
    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again!

    SHAUN
    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

    MICHAEL K.
    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good
    profitable calls. Keep up the good work.

    PARAG P.
    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!

    JAY P.
    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN.

    MIKE
    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

    TRISH D.
    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

    MIN L.
    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock!

    JOE G.
    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you!

    GREG F.
    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

    NOEL
    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

    TODD F.
    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

    PAUL H.
    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you!

    NOEL
    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ”

    CHRISTIAN
    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.”

    JOHN
    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.”

    CHARLES M.
    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.”

    BRYAN C.
    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.”

    JOHN H.
    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.”

    JEFFREY
    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.”

    ED
    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.”

    GREG
    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

    KEN
    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

    GARETT
    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

    TERENCE
    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    3/18/11
    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    2/3/12
    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

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