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Archive for the ‘Trading Psychology’ Category

Bears Run For Cover

Thursday, December 1st, 2011

9:00am (EST)

“Whatever method you use to pick stocks (or options)…your ultimate success or failure will depend on your ability to ignore the worries of the world long enough to allow your investments to succeed.  It isn’t the head but the stomach that determines the fate of the stock (or option) picker” – Peter Lynch with help from us

When we said in August that volatility would be here for a while, we weren’t kidding.  In November, we reiterated that statement and said we could see even bigger price swings in the market.  Now do you believe us?

Following last week’s debacle to the downside, this week’s surge has erased all of those losses, and then some, after a number of positive developments hit Wall Street before the bell on Wednesday.  The Dow futures lit up like a Christmas tree at the crack of dawn after being down triple-digits overnight.  The bad dream we had of a market crashing because of the Keystone Kops in Europe disappeared once we woke up.  Whew!  What a relief!  Big Ben saves the day again.

The bulls went ballistic after the announcement by the global central banks to strengthen the existing “swap lines” which will allow them to provide dollars to domestic banks as needed.  You can bet Ben Bernanke had a smile on his face after the suit-and-ties learned the Federal Reserve, along with our good neighbors, Canada; and England, the ECB, Japan and Switzerland were acting together to strengthen the existing swap lines…(read more) 

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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more and check our chart work for the Dow, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq please click here.  We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet.  We offer powerful call and put option trades aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter.  Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis.  Sign-up now and receive access instantly!

Futures are flat as we head to press.  Dow futures are down 16 points while the S&P futures are down 2 points.  The Nasdaq futures are up a point.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the trade updates.

Bulls Rebound Off Lows

Tuesday, October 4th, 2011

1:00pm (EST) 

We have a mixed market and we may have hit a temporary bottom.  We could see a dead-cat bounce today but we aren’t worried.  We have locked in profits and set HARD STOPS on the other half of our positions. 

We have been sleeping weird hours over the past few weeks as we try to get a read on the overseas markets while at the same time trying to see how our markets will react to the bevy of news that continues to embellish Wall Street.  It has paid off.

We have often said trading is for the long haul and since we have started Momentum Options, we have never had a losing year.  At times, trading ranges and headline breaking news have whipsawed us out of positions but overall we continue to cover the market’s moves like grass on dirt.

We often get asked why some years were better than others but here is the bottom line.  Choppy markets are hard to trade and all we try to do is stay even by playing calls and puts.  Trending markets is when we make our bank and we usually trade more contracts than usual because a clear trend is in place.  Over time, we have winning streaks and losing streaks but when we tell you a TREND is in place, we usually stay hot.

With the market coming down to our next wave of support targets, there is still more downside risk, but we are also seeing GREAT setups for future CALL option trades.      

We will cover more tomorrow but for now we have to roll.

As we head to press, the Dow is down 67 points to 10,588 while the S&P is up 3 points to 1,102.  The Nasdaq is higher by 30 points to 2,365.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates and more Profit Alerts!  We may also release a NEW TRADE today so stay tuned…

Bears Head Down Copperhead Road

Monday, September 19th, 2011

1:00pm (EST)

“I learned a thing or two from ol’ Charlie don’t you know
You better stay away from Copperhead Road”

When we were doing our Weekly Wrap on Sunday, we had a feeling the bulls would struggle at the top of the current trading range following last week’s huge rally.  We weren’t too worried about the problems with Greece but we knew when futures opened lower last night the market could test support which was prior resistance.

Renewed fears of Greek going down are back in the headlines after the suit-and-ties failed to come up with a more detailed plan over the weekend to prevent a default.  There was some hope the European Union finance ministers would give more money to the bailout fund, as suggested by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, but he got laughed at, basically.  Well, we shouldn’t say laughed at, let’s just say, the EU leaders suggested he shouldn’t throw stones at glass houses. 

The bottom line, folks, is that Greece is broke and it can’t pay its bills without the bailout loan.  Although we expect some resolution this week, the biggest problem is that since the loan was delayed until October, this could actually force Greece to default if they DON’T do something.  Like we mentioned last week, the EU doesn’t want a domino effect. 

We are more worried about the events here at home as the Fed takes center stage on Tuesday and Wednesday.  The two-day meeting will shape the market’s direction this week once the FOMC statement on interest rates is released.

Our portfolio is light as we look to establish our next batch of trades.  We have taken a few early positions on longer-term options and we have a few trades that are still open from June and July.  Our points is, we have a number of trades that are on our Watch List that should do really well on a market breakout but we need to make sure there is a continued rally and that we don’t fall back into the current trading range. 

If we do, we may have to play some short-term put options, but we think the bulls can push new highs once some of the global risks come off the table.

One sector that continues to get hammered is copper which is at its lows for the year.  One stock we like to follow when it comes to copper is Freeport-McMoRan (FCX, $39.92, down $1.67) which is down another 4% today and at fresh 52-week lows.  The 52-week high is $61.35 so shares are down nearly 35% from their high.  However, multi-year support is strong at $30 so we are being careful with this one although we think shares are getting to be a steal.  We will be looking at a strangle option trade for Freeport on Tuesday but either way, the stock and options are getting interesting as a possible short or a longer-term rebound with LEAPs.

Be patient.  We should get our clues shortly.  As far as our ongoing trades, they are holding steady and are showing slight gains.  We have already taken half profits in our Research In Motion (RIMM, $23.93, flat) put options to lock in a triple-digit return and the call trades we have open are off to a great start despite today’s pullback.

As far as the market, we mentioned support this morning at Dow 11,350; S&P 1,200; and Nasdaq 2,600.  As we head to press, the Dow is down 182 points to 11,327 while the S&P is lower by 19 points to 1,197.  The Nasdaq is off 22 points to 2,600.  If the bulls can’t hold current levels, the market could be testing lower support levels just as fast as it went up last week.   

Subscribers, check the Members Area for more updates.

Diamond Foods (DMND) is a Diamond in the Rough

Friday, September 16th, 2011

1:00pm (EST)

Special Offer from Momentum Options Trading

Folks, we made the Weekly Wrap a free publication for 3 years before making it a paid publication in 2011.  It has been a popular read for many of you and our goal is to get you more involved in the market and to teach you different strategies.  Many of you know we have spent 2 years writing an option trading manual “How to Trade Options on Momentum Stocks” and it has been a huge success.

We are also doing videos that are included with the manual and have made it an ongoing option  trading course.  We have gotten great feedback as many of our subscribers are starting to do their own trades.  This has been our ultimate goal but we have been trying to find a way to incorporate both the Weekly Wrap and our option trading manual, together.

In the past we have offered our option trading manual at no charge (an $899 value) with a 1-year subscription to the Weekly Wrap which includes all NEW TRADES and TRADE ALERTS that may come out during the week.

We will be running this offer again this weekend.  Also, if you order a 1-year subscription to the Daily this weekend, we will also include the course at no charge.

We also know times are tight and that we only have 2 subscription models for our Weekly Wrap which is a 6-month or 1-year membership.  The reason we haven’t offered shorter time periods is because covered call option strategies often take 5 weeks or longer for the trade to play out.

Due to the response we have gotten from many of you who took us up on our offer to try the newsletter for a month, we have decided to include a 3-month membership as well but we are offering it as a super deal to those of you who gave us a try.

The normal price for the 3-month membership is $199 but we will be offering the Weekly Wrap for just $99!  As another bonus package, we will also include the rest of September!  This means you will get all of our Weekly Wrap, all trades, and trade alerts for the rest of 2011 for less than $1 a day.

We have profiled many winning stocks over the years – Imax (IMAX, $17.89, down $0.62) went from $3 to $38 under our watch and we said to sell at $30 once the 3-D craze wore off back in the summer.  A sweet 10-bagger.

We also profiled Dendreon (DNDN, $11.46, down $0.72) when shares were at $4 and made a run past $50.  In June, we recommended our readers get out at $40.  Now shares are on sale again and we will probably be adding the stock to our covered call portfolio at some point.

We also recommended picking up Netflix (NFLX, $160.80, down $8.45) at double-nickels ($55) back in 2009 before shares reached a high of $300 earlier this summer!  Of course, we would have been long gone before yesterday’s debacle but you can still see the huge gains you would have racked up.

Yesterday, we mentioned Diamond Foods (DMND, $88.88, up $10.65), a stock we have been following since the $20’s, and said they could have a big quarter.  We profiled the September 80 calls (DMND110917C00080000, $8.40, up $7.35) and mentioned the wide bid/ask prices on the options but we should have pulled the trigger anyways.  The calls are up 700%.  The October 80 calls (DMND111022C00080000, $10.00, up $6.30) are up 170% and had a bid/ask of $2/$3.50 yesterday and are also having a monster day.

Our point is, we wanted to show you how options and stocks can work together to produce safe, double-digit profits on a monthly basis.  We also wanted to show you how powerful options are and that they can return upwards of 700%.

So far this year we have closed out 7 winners with 2 more possibly closing today to bring our record to 9-0 for the Weekly Wrap portfolio.  We also have a few other trades that are doing well that could be “called-away” in October.

Here are the results:  VVUS +18%, DNDN +9%, PCX +13%, SGEN +26%, TIVO +34%, REDF +11%, PCX +7.  GE +5% and CLNE +13% are pending today.

If General Electric (GE, $16.26, up $0.18) stays above $16 and Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE, $13.07, down $0.22) holds $13, the trades will be officially closed.

Our next Weekly Wrap is due out this Sunday and we profile two companies a week that could be on the move – up or down.  We also go over all of our current trades which include graphs and comments, as well as a look at upcoming earnings.

We would really like to have you on board which is why we are making this special offer.

If you would like to sign-up for the Weekly Wrap and the 3-month membership, please use code BB027CB4CA.  Use this code and please make sure you click the 3-month Weekly Wrap membership.

If you sign-up for our 1-year offer for the Weekly Wrap, the option trading course will automatically be shipped to you at no charge.  You will also get a username and password to view all of our past videos and futures videos once you sign up.  Our next video will be coming out in early October and you won’t want to miss it with the start of 3Q earnings season right around the corner.

We are excited about the rest of 2011 and we think there will be a ton of opportunities to find some undervalued stocks that look primed for covered call writing.

To read more on our options manual, please go here.

We have been in a zone since mid-August and have had some nice winners for our portfolios.  The good news is we expect that trend to continue for the rest of the year no matter what the market does.  If we correct from here we will make cash.  If the market continues to go higher, we will also make money.

As far as the action today, the market has been flat but is picking up steam as we head into the second half of trading.  The Dow is up 94 points to 11,527 while the S&P 500 is higher by 7 points to 1,216.  The Nasdaq is showing a gain of 16 points and is at 2,623.

Remember, this special offer for both the Weekly Wrap and the Daily publications will only last thru Sunday night so we urge you to get on board.  If you sign-up for the 1-year memberships, we will ship the course out to you this weekend.

We will be back Sunday night so until then, have a great weekend!  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

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Trader Comments:

    REGINA L.
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year
    of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL.

    STEVE T.
    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help.

    SCOTT H.
    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide.

    PETER G.
    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485

    LAWRENCE O.
    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming.

    C.J.
    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again!

    SHAUN
    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

    MICHAEL K.
    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good
    profitable calls. Keep up the good work.

    PARAG P.
    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!

    JAY P.
    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN.

    MIKE
    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

    TRISH D.
    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

    MIN L.
    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock!

    JOE G.
    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you!

    GREG F.
    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

    NOEL
    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

    TODD F.
    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

    PAUL H.
    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you!

    NOEL
    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ”

    CHRISTIAN
    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.”

    JOHN
    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.”

    CHARLES M.
    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.”

    BRYAN C.
    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.”

    JOHN H.
    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.”

    JEFFREY
    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.”

    ED
    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.”

    GREG
    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

    KEN
    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

    GARETT
    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

    TERENCE
    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”

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