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Archive for the ‘Stock Earnings’ Category

Amazon, Facebook, RIMM Key for Tech

Tuesday, January 29th, 2013

12:30pm (EST)

The bulls are trying to gather momentum for a final push to new all-time highs and their journey will likely depend on the help or hurt that Amazon.com’s (AMZN, $270.69, down $5.35) and Facebook’s (FB, $31.27. down $1.20) earnings provide.

Amazon is on deck after today’s close and Facebook will be announcing their numbers Wednesday.  Amazon carries a rich premium and will need to trounce Wall Street’s numbers while Facebook will have to show strong growth in its mobile division.  We haven’t studied the numbers but we have listed a Facebook option trade on our Watch List.

The trade could do very well depending on Facebook’s numbers and shares will likely move 10% or more one way or another.  The downside is they disappointment the suit-and-ties and shares fall below $30.  For this you would use put options to try to double your money.  If shares make a run at $38 on a beat-and-raise, then call options would be your best bet for a triple-digit win.

We will likely stay on the sidelines but we are afraid if we do, shares could rocket like Netflix (NFLX, $164.23, up $2.12) did last week.  The earnings trade we profiled was one of the biggest returns we have ever seen (4,000+%) and it showed how a 40 cent option went to over $14 and then $30,  Amazing.

Facebook doesn’t have the power to move $100 after earnings but a $5-$10 move is not out of the question.

Research in Motion (RIMM, $15.08, down $1.11) will introduce its new Blackberry 10 model at 10am (EST) on Wednesday and the Fed will give a statement in the afternoon.  Tomorrow is lining up to be a big day for news and nonfarm payroll are due out Friday morning.

Hold on tight because we might get white knuckles going into the weekend and the start of February.  We love thrill rides and this market is setting up to take us on a wild trip.

We have a lot to cover with today’s trades so let’s get on it.  As we head to press, the Dow is up 57 points to 13,939 while the S&P 500 is higher by 5 points to 1,505.  The Nasdaq is down 5 points to 3,149.

We have a NEW TRADE and we are closing half positions on another trade that is up 23%.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Netflix (NFLX) Options Zoom 4,000%/ S&P Trips 1,500/ Profit Alert (CHRW)

Thursday, January 24th, 2013

12:25pm (EST)

We mentioned this week would produce some nice earnings trades and one we failed to capitalize on was Netflix (NFLX, $142.82, up $39.56) which is up a whopping 38% today.  The company did the exact opposite of Wall Street expected as they reported a profit of 13 cents versus expectations for a loss of 13 pennies.

NFLX12413

We had a feeling the company would “survive” considering the deal they recently signed with Disney (DIS, $54.60, up $0.65) which was huge.  Netflix has a solid brand name and despite some stumbles, there is some value in the shares.

As cable companies continue to raise prices and provide crummy service, customers are looking for ways to reduce their cable bill or slash them entirely.  Verizon (VZ, $42.83, up $0.04) charges an incredible amount of money to use their cable, phone (home and mobile), and internet services.  There are so many hidden fees attached to your cable bill that it becomes a headache to figure it out.  They charge monthly fees for the cable boxes and they don’t offer the best phone rates as many carriers are a lot cheaper.  Customers are paying north of 4 bills to have all of Verizon’s bells and whistles with a phone and data plan.

This is where Netflix comes in.  As people move away from traditional cable companies and switch to alternative methods, content will be key as well as pricing.  Netflix is $8 or $16 a month an offers a ton of viewing choices.  The company is expanding globally but now managing that growth in a better way and their partnerships continue to impress.  Shares are still a little lofty at these levels but with so many downgrades and lowered expectations, we should have swung the bat on a cheap call option trade.

The Netflix February 130 calls (NFLX130216C00130000, $14.55, up $13.60) closed at 95 cents yesterday after OPENING at 34 cents and are up a whopping 1,431% today.  In other words, a $1,000 investment would be worth a cool $14,550 at the present moment.

There are WEEKLY options available to trade on Netflix and the January 125 calls (NFLX130125C00125000, $16.40, up $16.02) closed at 38 cents yesterday after opening at 16 cents and are up an astounding 4,215% on today’s news.  A $380 trade on 10 contracts would have yielded a profit for $16,400!

Now you know why we say earnings season can produce some incredible option returns.

As far as the market, the bulls are flexing their muscles despite Apple’s (AAPL, $460.32, down $53.69) drubbing.  The Dow is surging 85 points to 13,862 while the S&P 500 is up a nickel to 1,500.  The Nasdaq is down a six-pack to 3,147.  Incredible.

We do have more good news for a few of our current trades and we are locking in profits on one that showing a gain of nearly 60%.  We said the bulls could run through the first of February and we are looking to ring the register along the way.

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Special Reminder:  We were stopped out of our Antares Pharma $4.00, flat) covered call trade for the Weekly Wrap.  We made single-digits on the trade and we could have written another call option to get the returns to double-digits but we felt it was best to move our money into some faster moving trades.  This gets out Track Record for the Weekly Wrap to 46-2 since inception.  We will have a special story for you tomorrow on the Weekly Wrap so make sure you read up on it.

Bulls Get Healthier

Tuesday, March 23rd, 2010

12:45pm (EST) 

The bulls continue their March towards new highs (no pun intended) as the President signs our nation’s new health bill today.   The passage of the landmark legislation is now official and many of the changes will take place this year. 

Obama said it gets the wheels rolling on ”desperately needed reforms” sought by generations of Americans.  He also said America can afford this bill so we shall see.

In economic news, existing home sales fell less than expected as the National Association of Realtors reported sales of previously occupied homes fell 0.6% last month to an annual rate of 5.02 million units.  Wall Street had expected sales would fall to 5 million.

Despite some turbulence, the Dow is flying higher and is up 44 points to 10,830.  The S&P 500 is up 3 points to 1,168 while the Nasdaq is enjoying a 6 point pop and is at 2,402. 

Folks, if we can hold these levels, we could be setting our sights and our next set of targets for the indexes we have been mentioning all week.  We would list them but you already know the deal if you have been following us.

Turning to earnings, Walgreen’s (WAG, $35.74, up $0.31) is getting a slight nudge higher despite reporting numbers that failed to match expectations.  The company reported a profit of $669 million, or $0.68 a share, versus $640 million, or $0.65 a share, in the year earlier period.

WAG032310

Sales rose 3% to $17 billion but Wall Street was looking for Walgreen to earn $0.71 a share on $17.2 billion in revenue.  Although they missed, Walgreen’s earnings matched depressed expectations and gross margins came in better-than-expected which is why shares are seeing a little bump. 

We have a lot to discuss in our Members Area and a few of our trades are making explosive moves today to the good.  We also have a NEW trade that we will be going after so let’s get to it!   

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2013 Closed Trades:

    Here are our biggest recommendations for 2013 so far: +367 on REGN call options +173% on BGFV call options +140 on SCTY call options +178 on SNE call options +128% on SNE call options

    Our 2013 Closed Track Record for the Daily and Weekly Wrap are posted in the Members Area along with our 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, and 2008 Track Records. We have NEVE had a losing year and we are having an incredible 2013!

    We were 159-70 for 2012, our fifth-straight profitable year since inception, with over 30 triple-digit winners and 17 more winners of 70% or more.

    The 5 biggest gainers for 2012 were: :
    576% on GMCR put options;
    500% on TASR call options;
    475% on AXP call options;
    464% on ARNA call options;
    and 292% on COF call options. We doubt any option newsletter performed as well as we did.

    Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2011:
    +1,167% Rambus option trade
    +357% RIMM option play
    +296% Freeport option trade
    +190% O’Reilly
    +184% Goldman Sachs
    We had 21 triple-digit winners and 12 (70%+) on 154 trades

    Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2010:
    +525% Adobe call options
    +297% Akamai Tech
    +190% Nike call play
    +177% Best Buy option trade
    +150% Green Mountain
    We had 19 triple-digit winners and 6 (70%+) on 115 trades

    Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2009:
    +1150% RIMM option play
    +552% Google call options
    +556% RIMM option trade
    +567% Bank of America
    +335% IBM call options
    We had 79 triple-digit winners and 19 (70%+) on 238 trades

    Our 5 biggest winning recommendations in 2008:
    +1,057% Google call options
    +867% AIG put options
    +588% Budweiser takeover play
    +400% Chipotle Mexican Grill
    +347 Merck option play
    We had 65 triple-digit winners and 13 (70%+) on 142 trades

    The portfolios can be found in the Members Area as well as past portfolios from 2008-2011. Overall, we are 621-273 on nearly 900 real-time recommendations that equals a success rate of 70%. This means, on average, 7-out-of-10 of our option trade recommendations make you money and we hope to have an even better success rate for 2013.

    If you are missing these juicy profits, come give us a try. Get your password to our Members Area instantly when you sign up TODAY! One profitable trade will easily pay for your membership. You can request our 2008-2012 Track Records by sending us an email or filling out the box below.

Trader Comments:
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL. REGINA L.

    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help. STEVE T.

    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide. SCOTT H.

    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485 PETER G.

    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming. LAWRENCE O.

    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again! C.J.

    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace! SHAUN

    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good profitable calls. Keep up the good work. MICHAEL K.

    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!
    PARAG P.

    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN. JAY P.

    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You. MIKE

    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks. TRISH D.

    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock! MIN L.

    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you! JOE G.

    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming. GREG F.

    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade. NOEL

    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today. TODD F.

    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you! PAUL H.

    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ” NOEL

    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.” CHRISTIAN

    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.” JOHN

    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.” CHARLES M.

    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.” BRYAN C.

    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.” JOHN H.

    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.” JEFFREY

    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.” ED

    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.” GREG

    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.” KEN

    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.” GARETT

    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.” TERENCE

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    3/18/11
    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    2/3/12
    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

    Hi Rick,

    Wow!! my account it up 70% since i joined last month and market is going the opposite direction. Really appreciate your service. I just wanted to drop a note to say THANK YOU. Hope to be with you guys for a very long time. Mel

    Rick,

    Great call on Fosl I bought the may 120 puts for 3.70 yesterday morning just sold for $32.00 today
    Keep up the great work
    Thank you, Henri

    Rick –

    I bought 10 Deckers Outdoor (DECK) May 55 puts at $0.50 on 4/26/12 and sold them on 4/27/12 for $1.65. I made $1150 in one day. Thanks. I knew something good would happen sooner or later.
    HOW THE HECK did you know Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) was going to go down 20 points???!!!! I bought 10 of the May 35 puts at $0.49 and then 5 more at .30. I sold them at 5.80. Thank you again.
    You have made a believer out of me. Alan

    Rick –
    I have only been a member for about 6 weeks but I have done well on most of the trades. My first two were QQQ and SPY a month ago and since then I've gotten into the groove and been doing well.
    I try to execute the trades that you recommend as soon as you send them out, sometimes I can't and I miss the Entry price. However, sometimes when I miss the Entry, the price goes down and I get a better price.
    That's exactly what happened with GMCR.
    You recommended it at around $.81 I think, but by the time I got to it, the price was $.27. I bought 100 Puts on Wednesday May 2, 2012 and sold half of them 24 hours later at $5.95 for a nice 2,203% gain. As per your recommendation, as GMCR went above $30 I sold the remaining 50 Puts at $5.50 for a slightly less 2,037% gain.
    On average that one trade netted me a 2,120% gain, entirely based on YOUR recommendation (and a little bit of luck). To put this in real terms, I risked $2,700 on Wednesday and pocketed $54,550 just 24 hours later.
    So uhh, let's do that again real soon!!
    Feel free to use my name. The tax guys have me on speed-dial already anyway. Dennis

    Rick:
    That was awesome on your GMCR pick, I know how risky it can been holding into earnings but you pulled it off. 
    I just started my autotrading with you today and am in on your QQQ play. I look forward this service. 
    I have a busy career and I have tried to follow and trade throughout the day and found it too hard. I hope you continue to have a great year, I plan to go along for the ride. I am starting slow but will pile more in once I have secured some profits. 
    Keep up the good work your trading has been spot on. I am sure you paid your dues to get this point in your career. Anthony

    Rick:

    Great call on GMCR!  I have been trading for about 15 years actively.  This may be the best trade I ever made.  Got in on Monday, April 30 and the stock was up from when you recommended it.  It went up further after I got in.  Here are the facts:
    Monday, April 30th: Bought 15 June 37's at $1.25= $1900 approx
    Thursday, May 3rd: Sold 15 June 37's at $9.30=$13,950
    Gain for the week: $12,050.
    I understand you will not get them all right.  It’s important to ride those winners and as you could tell from my selling price, I sold when the stock went to $28.10, so left a little on the table.  Who can complain.
    Keep the suggestions coming, looking for another jump on your FSLR, one that I have been riding very hard.
    Best regards, Bob
      

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