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Archive for the ‘Option Trades’ Category

Market Mixed On HealthCare Concerns

Monday, March 8th, 2010

12:50pm (EST)

The bulls are taking a breather as they prepare to take the market higher over the next few weeks.  Of course, the bears are still playing and they are getting a little action today but we think the trend is still up.

The Dow is currently down 20 points to 10,545 while the S&P has slipped 2 points and is at 1,137.  The Nasdaq, however, is also showing a slight gain and is higher by 4 points to 2,330.

We got some more rhetoric from the President concerning HealthCare which could be weighing on the market.  He also took another shot at Goldman Sachs (GS, $169.57, up $2.39) but the stock has been rallying lately off the $165 level.

gs030810

Imax (IMAX, $14.92, up $1.20) is at fresh 52-week highs after taking in record sales for the opening of Alice in Wonderland.   The movie was shown in 188 domestic Imax theaters which contributing $12 million of the film’s overall opening gross of $116 million. 

imax030810

These numbers represent over 10% of the overall domestic box revenues but the kicker is that Imax was only on 3% of the total screens.  The company’s average screening was a whopping per $64,362 joint.  Overseas, they made another $3 million on 53 screens.  Wow.

Imax is a story we have been covering for 3 years and some of our subscribers have been loading up on this stock when it was under $4.  We don’t buy stock but we have profiled several call options trades over the past few years that have done well. 

The company announces earnings this Thursday.

We have a lot to cover in the Members Area so we want to get our subscribers inside.  We also have NEW TRADE we cover in today’s update.

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Market Looks Strong

Friday, March 5th, 2010

1:00pm (EST)

The bulls are putting an explanation point on this week’s rally as the market continues to move higher.  We got all the news we needed this morning when the U.S. jobs declined less than expected.  The report is still subject to debate and there are probably a few skeletons in the closet but the “here and now” is that the market is rocking. 

The Dow is currently up 83 points to 10,527 while the S&P 500 is higher by 11 points to 1,135.  The Nasdaq continues to shine and is showing a pop of 27 points as it stands at 2,319.

We said in our Weekly Wrap that the market could continue to climb a “wall of worry” and this seems to be the case.  We have covered a bunch of stocks this week and we have closed several nice trades in our Members Area.  Our subscribers closed a F5 Networks (FFIV, $61.13, up $0.43) trade on Wednesday for a 150% gain and a Cree (CREE, $69.13, up $0.06) call option trade for nearly 30% gains.

ffiv_030510

There were two stocks we followed outside the Members Area this week that are also on a roll. 

Walt Disney (DIS, $33.00, up $0.43) got an upgrade a day after these quotes from us on Wednesday:

“Walt Disney led the Dow higher and looks like it wants to challenge its 52-week high of $32.75.  We have followed Disney for years and we usually have pretty good success playing call options on the stock.  In September 2009, we grabbed our subscribers 72% on a call option trade and we recently closed out another trade for a small 12% win.  In other words, there could be a trade here if Disney continues higher.” (END) 

dis030510

We wanted to add some call options on Disney to our portfolio but we held off when the stock popped yesterday.

The other company we want to talk about is TiVo (TIVO, $17.38, up $0.85).  We did a big write-up yesterday because there has been a story developing at TiVo since June 2009 that we have been covering like grass on dirt.  We profiled 3 options yesterday in our 1pm update that could have easily paid the bills this month:

The March 10 calls (TUK100320C00010000, $7.40, up $0.80) were at $5.70 in our 1pm update yesterday and you could close them now for a 30% gain.  Remember, these options opened at $1.05 on Thursday.  The total gain from yesterday’s open would be a staggering 600%. 

The March 11 calls (TUK100320C00011000, $6.60, up $2.00) were at $4.50 and are up another 48% today.

tivo030510b

For our Kenny Rogers fans, the “Gambler” trade we profiled, the March 17.50 calls (TUK100320C00017500, $0.75, up $0.20), are up nearly 40%.  Over 53,000 contracts traded hands on Thursday.  Wow.

We mention this because these types of trades are what makes option trading so lucrative and why we spend so much time on research.  We also wanted to PROVE to people that YOU can make this much money on a single option trade. 

We often hear people laugh when we tell them they can make this much money when using options in the stock market because they don’t believe us.  People think we are full of sheet.  The talking heads say the same thing but we keep it real and here is the devil in the details on where they are wrong.

In 2009, our subscribers made 550% on a Google (GOOG, $563.41, up $8.82) call option trade and a 1,150% on a Research In Motion (RIMM, $68.89, down $0.09) call play.

The point is, we want you in on the action and we want you to trade with us for the long-term.  Often times we have subscribers sign up and then cancel after a month because we may have profiled a losing trade.  Folks, we are going to have them but we have a track record for a reason.  We try to teach patience and when the market is in a rhythm the profits can be super great.  The losers suck but the winners make up for that.

We see more juicy trades on the horizon weather the market continues higher or has a sudden reversal.  However, we think next week could be another bull run.  We will be back Sunday night with the Weekly Wrap with some fresh ideas and a look at next week’s action.  We will also be updating all of the CLOSED trades for our 2010 Portfolio so that you can view our results.  Current subscribers, check the Members Area for the HOT updates.

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Dendreon Goes On Wild Ride

Tuesday, March 2nd, 2010

12:55pm (EST) 

The market continues to power higher following yesterday’s positive manufacturing data and rising commodity prices.  The Dow is currently up 27 points, or 0.3%, at 10,430 and is back in the black for 2010 for the first time since January.  The Dow finished 2009 at 10,428. 

The S&P is higher by 5 points, or 0.4%, to 1,120 while the Nasdaq is showing an increase or 9 points, or 0.4%, to 2,283.

Wall Street is tossing around one of our favorite stocks today like a ragdoll but it has come back strong. 

Dendreon (DNDN, $34.60, up $2.09) was down 10% this morning to a low of $30.81 before bouncing back to hit new 52-week highs.

It seems there was worry that the FDA was going to take another look at the company’s drug, Provenge, after an independent and unconfirmed research report claimed that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration was going to convene an advisory panel meeting to review the drug. 

The company quickly came out and insisted the FDA told them this wasn’t the case.  The deadline for the FDA notifying Dendreon about the need for an advisory panel meeting has already passed anyway, which is why Wall Street got nervous.     

The FDA is expected to issue an approval decision on Provenge on or before May 1 and that is the date we are looking at.  Dendreon was our biggest trade last year and although we don’t think the returns will rival those of 2009, we do think this stock is tradable. 

We have several stocks in our Members Area that are on F-I-R-E.  We are starting to lock in 100% returns on some of our trades from last week and we have a few others that are showing some sweet gains.  Subscribers, check for the updates…

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M&A Heats Up

Monday, March 1st, 2010

1:00pm (EST)

The bulls came out in a buying mood this morning as mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity continues to pick up and more information about a possible European bailout of Greece has lifted the market.

At midday, the Dow is up 80 points, or 0.8%, to 10,404, while the S&P has climbed 10 points, or 0.9%, to 1,114.  The Nasdaq is showing the most strength as the index is up 31 points, or 1.4% to 2,270.

We mentioned the AIG (AIG, $26.30, up $1.53) news this morning and in other M&A activity, OSI Pharmaceuticals (OSIP, $56.41, up $19.39) is up a whopping 52% after getting a buyout offer from Japanese drugmaker, Astellas Pharma.  The $3.5 billion takeover offer for OSI Pharmaceuticals is being presented directly to shareholders after being rebuffed several times by executives at OSI.

osip

We saw some action in shares of OSI last week but we didn’t think a buyout was right around the corner.  Too bad.  The March 35 calls (GHU100320C00035000, $20.90, up $18.70) are up 850%…

In economic news, the Commerce Department said personal spending rose 0.5% in January.  Wall Street was looking for an increase of 0.4%.  However, personal income edged up 0.1%, below the 0.4% forecast by the pencil pushers.  It was the slowest growth in income in four months.

Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its manufacturing index fell to 56.5 in February from 58.4 in January.  Wall Street was looking for a print of 58.  The one silver lining was that the report sees manufacturing employment improving.  The ISM releases its services industries index on Wednesday.

Before we go, we thought we would mention the strength Sandisk (SNDK, $31.95, up $2.80) is showing today after the company boosted its first-quarter guidance to reflect more demand for memory chips.  The 9% pop has the stock at a new 52-week high.  Sandisk was on our Watch List but we just missed bagging a 200% return…

sndk

We have some other trades that are doing really well today but obviously we are disappointed we didn’t pull the trigger on Sandisk last week.  Current subscribers, check the Members Area for the juicy updates.

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Garmin Tanks On Lower Margins

Wednesday, February 24th, 2010

12:35pm (EST)

The market is trying to rebound from a two-day slide and has held up well after hearing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke tell Congress that low interest rates are still needed to support the economy.  He also added that interest rates will probably remain low for an extended period to allow more time for an economic recovery.

The Commerce Department said sales of new homes fell to a record low in January as Wall Street had been expecting an increase.  New home sales fell a whopping 11.2% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual sales rate of 309,000 units versus a forecast of 360,000.  This was the lowest level on a record in nearly 50 years.

The Department of Energy released its inventory report which showed a larger than expected build up of crude oil, but a larger than expected draw down of gasoline.

As a result, the Dow is currently up 85 points to 10,367.  The Nasdaq is higher by 22 points and is at 2,236 while the S&P is up 9 points to 1,103..

In earnings news, Garmin (GRMN, $31.99, down $2.46) is getting a haircut despite beating Wall Street’s estimates.

GRMN - 60 Minute Chart

GRMN - 60 Minute Chart

The company earned $278 million, or $1.38 a share versus $158 million, or $0.78 a share, during the year ago period.  More importantly, Garmin also said it sees its NuviFone operating margins to be slightly negative in 2010.

We have mentioned Garmin often in this space over the last few months and yesterday we profiled an earnings trade to take advantage on a possible move lower.  We knew the company would beat estimates but like we told our readers yesterday, Garmin is the next Blockbuster (BBI/B, $0.26, down $0.03).

Garmin has made a niche for itself in the navigation field but there is just too much better and cheaper competition that continues to eat away at the company’s margins.  Here is what we said yesterday in our Members Area:

“Garmin reports earnings on Wednesday and we have talked about Garmin in the past.  A recent stroll in our neighborhood showed the latest Garmin devices selling at 50% discounted prices and there were a TON of them.  It looked liked the same display that has been up at Christmas…

The company is in a dying business as simple, easier ways of navigation are now available.  Google and Nokia said they will offer free turn-by-turn navigation on mobile phones and we are sure other applications will continue to be far cheaper than Garmin’s products.”

Current subscribers who acted on those comments are up 75%-100% today on a put option trade.  Yes, earnings trades are risky but if you can read the hidden message before a company reports then you have a chance at a pretty good payday.

We have updated all of our trades, including Garmin, so please check the Members Area NOW

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« Older Entries
Try our directional option picks.
    No fancy spreads. No iron condors. No need to watch the markets all day long.

Year Profits
2008 136.01%
2009 90.04%
Results are NOT compounded.

FREE OPTION PICKS
TRACK RECORD.
Nothing fancy. Just simple calls and puts. Click on PDF links below.

2010 Option
Trading Results

2009 Option
Trading Results

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Trading Results

Trader Comments:

    LAWRENCE O.
    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming.

    C.J.
    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again!

    SHAUN
    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

    MICHAEL K.
    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good
    profitable calls. Keep up the good work.

    PARAG P.
    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!

    JAY P.
    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN.

    MIKE
    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

    TRISH D.
    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

    MIN L.
    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock!

    JOE G.
    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you!

    GREG F.
    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

    NOEL
    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

    TODD F.
    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

    PAUL H.
    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you!

    NOEL
    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ”

    CHRISTIAN
    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.”

    JOHN
    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.”

    CHARLES M.
    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.”

    BRYAN C.
    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.”

    JOHN H.
    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.”

    JEFFREY
    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.”

    ED
    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.”

    GREG
    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

    KEN
    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

    GARETT
    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

    TERENCE
    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”