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Twitter ($TWTR) Files IPO Papers, Potbelly ($PBPB) Pops Triple-Digits/ Profit Alert (JCP)!!!

Friday, October 4th, 2013

1:35pm (EST)

We said there was a good possibility Twitter would announce their Initial Public Offering (IPO) this week and after the bell on Thursday they made us look like we knew what we were talking about.  The company hopes to raise $1 billion with the offering and could be trading by Turkey Day as we predicted.  The ticker symbol will be “TWTR” but there was no word if Twitter will list on the Nasdaq or New York Stock Exchange.  The suit-and-ties from the Nasdaq are at Twitter’s headquarters today as they were “in the neighborhood”.

In other IPO news, Potbelly (PBPB, $32.46, up $18.46) is surging 132% on its first day of trading after offering 7.5 million shares at $14.  Shares opened at $28.66 and have traded to a high of $33.78.  Meanwhile, a recent IPO that continues to shoot to the moon is Rocket Fuel (FUEL, $66.25, up $5.75) as shares have kissed $68 today.  We are waiting on the options to trade on this stock and hopefully they come out before shares hit $100.  We normally shy away from playing options on stocks over $100 due to the high premiums as near-term options can cost $3-$4 apiece.  We like to keep our options trades under $2-$1.

We have started our next batch of option trades as we have 2 November plays and plenty more to choose from on our Watch List.  There are a dozen possible option trades on our Big Board and when there is a clear trend we can carry up to 15 trades.  In choppy markets we only like to carry 5-10 open trades, sometimes less.

We said yesterday we have a few trades winding down from July, August, and September and since the start of July we are 21-7 for our Daily portfolio with gains of +175%, +140%, +201%, +364% for our top winners.  We have 2 more current open trades that are up 250%-319% (1 for the Weekly) and a few dead soldiers that may not make it by October 18 and when October options expire.

We are scoring on 70% of our trades for the year and the closed trade portfolio is up over 200% as we have shown you how to turn $10,000 into $30,000 so far this year.  We doubt there has been a more accurate option trading service than us and we plan to stay hot through yearend (and forever for that matter).  We are on track for our sixth-straight profitable year and over that time frame we are also pushing nearly a 70% win rate.

We don’t hang out with the suit-and-ties and our research team works 6 days a week to bring you the best trades.  We continue to say this is one of the best times we have seen in a few years to trade options and with earnings season starting next week, we could get really busy.

The bulls still look like they could push new highs despite the Dow breaking down this week but the other 3 major indexes are hanging in there.  Of course, the market can turn on a dime at a moment’s notice given all of the headline risk but the clues we have given you all week have been extremely accurate.  Doing your homework week-in and week-out helps keep emotions in check.

We mentioned a positive Friday close for the bulls would be a good start for next week but Monday’s have also been rough.  A reversal of this trend could signal a bottom is in but there will be other factors that will play a role in determining the next trend.

The market is now in a 3-week trading range that is getting stretched to the upside and downside as expected with volatility picking up.  We said this is going to be a fun ride and we can’t wait to do our research this weekend.

As we head to press, the Dow is up 61 points to 15,057 while the S&P 500 is higher by 9 points to 1,688.  The Nasdaq is advancing 30 points to 3,804.

We will be back on Sunday night with the Weekly Wrap and on Monday morning with the Daily.  If you haven’t jumped on board with our Weekly Wrap, we just want to remind you we started trading LEAP options over a month ago and our first two trades have been huge winners.  These trades take a little longer to play out than our Daily trades but are just as powerful.  We mentioned we have one trade approaching a 300% return and we have only been in the position for a little over a month.  Another LEAP call option has doubled.

Special Notice:  Also as we head to press, JC Penney (JCP, $7.95, down $0.47) continues to break down like a rented mule and we are ringing the resister on another quarter of the trade as our put option have reached $4+.  Our return is now up to 319% and we have said shares could test $6, meaning another possible dollar or two on our remaining quarter position.  What a nice way to end the week.  Until then have a great weekend everyone!

Market Mixed After Bernanke Grand Slam/ New Trade!!!

Thursday, September 19th, 2013

12:10pm (EST)

The market has traded in a tight range following yesterday’s breakout to new all-time highs as the bulls and bears regroup.  Bernanke dropped a lot of jaws after he hit it out of the park for the bulls with the bases loaded.

The bears had 2 outs in the ninth and were counting on a taper cut and a sell the news event.  Although we predicted no taper cut, it was impossible to play the breakout unless you made your bets ahead of the news.

We were watching the action like a hawk and the instant the words “no taper cut” came out, the market soared.  We were hoping for a little confusion and a slight tick lower to get in to play the run to all-time highs but the surge held as the bulls kept the majority of their gains.

We didn’t totally miss the action as we took a higher priced call option trade earlier in the week and we have other open positions that got nice pops.  The even better news is that we have been patient waiting for the breakout and now we need to see if it sticks or if it was the last hooray ahead of what could be a nasty October.

Our homework this weekend should gives us better clues following Friday’s close and we are excited because we have said October will be an incredible month to trade options.

The Dow is currently down 26 points to 15,650 while the S&P 500 is lower by a point to 1,724.  The Nasdaq is up 2 points to 3,786.

We ha a lot to cover with our Daily as we have a NEW TRADE and we could have one for our Weekly Wrap as well with additional updates for some of our currents trades.

Subscribers, hit the Members Area for the updates and stay close to your email inbox as we should have another update out shortly for the Weekly Wrap.

Market Up on Fed Watch/ New Trade!!!

Tuesday, September 17th, 2013

12:50pm (EST)

The bulls are trying to push Monday’s highs ahead of the Fed’s 2-day meeting that began today.  The big announcement on what the zombies will do as far as tapering will finally be answered and another pending market headline will be in the books.

Much of the “smart money” and Wall Street have penciled-in a reduction in the Fed’s $85 billion monthly bond-buying program to the tune of $5-$10 billion.  We are still on the fence on if the zombies will cut the cord or not because history shows when the Fed does cut its stimulus packages there is usually a sharp selloff in the market.

Bernanke cares very much about his legacy so he will be ultra careful in pulling the puppet strings.  On one hand, he doesn’t want to create a bubble in the market, while on the other he knows there is downside risk no matter what he does.  Although we have said all along a taper cut won’t come until December, if there is a one, we believe it could be $20 billion.

Big Ben has been a master in staying a step ahead of the market and with rumors galore flying around on who will replace him as Fed Chairman he could do something totally unexpected.

Elsewhere,  we wished we would have kept closer tabs on Coinstar’s name change to Outerwall (OUTR, $49.30, down $6.67) because it would have been a great short ahead of earnings.

Shares are down 12% after the company warned that it expects to earn between $0.82-$0.94 a share, on revenue of $569-$589 million.  This was a drastic reduction of earlier forecasts between $1.36-$1.51 a share, on revenue of $604-$630 million.

The company doesn’t report earnings until late October but now is the time for companies that are going to miss Wall Street’s expectations to confess if the aren’t going to meet them.  Sometimes, companies raise earnings guidance ahead of earnings season but Outerwall is in a dying sector and could be in further trouble.

The September 50 puts (OUTR130921P00050000, $1.40, up $1.35) would have been a great trade as they are up 2,700% today but they expire this Friday and there was no way we would have played these for a quick trade even though they closed at a nickel on Monday..

Yahoo Finance quote


The October 50 puts (OUTR131019P00050000, $3.00, up $0.40) closed at 60 cents yesterday and are up 400%.

Yahoo Finance quote


Q3 earnings season starts in October and while there are still a few companies winding down their numbers into the end of the month, the premium trades are coming so we just have to be patient.  We have done well playing earnings over the past few months as we wait for a breakout or breakdown out of the trading range and we will be in great position to play the move.

As we head to press, the Dow is up 41 points to 15,536 while the S&P 500 is higher by 6 points to 1,703.  The Nasdaq is gaining 21 points to 3,739.

We do have a New Trade we are getting into today on a stock we feel will move 10% over the next month or so.  If we are right, the options we are recommending should get us a 100+% return.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates and stay locked-and-loaded as we may have additional trades on the way.

Lower Fibonacci Levels Trigger/ Profits Alerts

Tuesday, August 27th, 2013

12:35pm (EST)

We knew coming into the week there was a good chance the market could trade lower if the bulls failed at resistance and if they did we would need to protect profits.  We have some nice gains going for our Daily as we cashed out the other half of a triple-digit winner (up 147%) and some of our put options plays are getting a bounce.  We also have a few positions that were up double-digits in our Weekly Wrap and we also set Hard Stops in our portfolio to lock-in gains if they were triggered.

While we believe these stocks in our Weekly are still long-term “buys”, we may be able to get back into these positions at lower prices.  We could sell deep-in-the-money calls but we would rather do so at lower levels as we build up our cash reserves to play a possible volatile September.

The one good thing about pullback and corrections is that good stocks become cheaper and we can take advantage of shorting bad ones that are overpriced.  We can use put options to play a continued downtrend so don’t fear playing the market when there is a slide because you can make just as much money shorting stocks and buying put options as you can when the market is going up.

With that said, we must also remember this week’s moves are going to be on low volume and we spent a ton of time covering the Fibonacci levels this weekend.  If you haven’t studied the charts and read our commentary, do so today.  We hope we made the technical jargon easier to understand and it’s important to know what the downside targets are and where resistance lies.  The other important factor to remember is that the indexes are still in a trading range and we have given specific targets to watch for as far as a breakdown or breakout.

The Dow is currently down 113 points to 14,832 while the S&P 500 is off by 18 points to 1,638.  The Nasdaq is lower by 56 points to 3,601 and the Russell 2000 is declining 15 points to 1,023.  The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX, 16.42, up 1.43) is up nearly 10% and back over 15.  Watch the 17.50 level.

Again, the targets we have been covering have been pinpoint accurate and will help sooth your worries on where the market is headed until support cracks or resistance is cleared.

Side Note:  Gold is surging to $1,425 after clearing the $1,400 level and the surge has been amazing.  Silver is also on a roll and is north of $24.

We have been fortunate enough to close 12-out-of-13 winning trades since mid-July and our remaining positions could see continued action this week so we will be busy.  Again, we will be entering September in perfect shape and we will be well rested for the battles ahead.

Subscribers, hit the Members Area for the Profit Alerts for our Daily and the Weekly Wrap Premium section for action to take on our Weekly Wrap trades.

Bulls Making a Push, New Trade (CRM)!!!

Monday, August 26th, 2013

1:30pm (EST)

The bulls had a number of headwinds facing them ahead of the open this morning but have brushed aside geopolitical tensions and some terrible economic news to push the market higher as we head into the second half of trading.

Durable Goods were released an hour before the open and shocked Wall Street after falling 7.3% in July, well short of an expected 4% drop.  This follows a 3.9% increase in June (revised lower from 4.2%).

In case you haven’t heard, the United States is preparing for a strike on Syria as 4 warships have been staged in the Mediterranean Sea in response to the chemical attack that killed over 1,300 people.

President Obama called in his top zombies over the weekend to discuss the situation and most experts are predicting a cruise missile attack is nearly certain.  Russia has warned the U.S. stay out of the affair and there is no love lost between Obama and Putin.  Stay tuned.

We mentioned the importance of the bulls finishing in the green today but the gains have been limited so watch the final hour of trading.

The Dow is up 27 points to 15,038 while the S&P 500 is higher by 4 points to 1,667.  The Nasdaq is advancing 24 points to 3,682 and the Russell 2000 has cleared 1,040 as the small-caps are up 5 points to 1,043.

We have a NEW TRADE we are getting into so we have to roll.  Subscribers, check the members Area for the updates and use limit orders to get the best fills.

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    The portfolios can be found in the Members Area as well as past portfolios from 2008-2011. Overall, we are 621-273 on nearly 900 real-time recommendations that equals a success rate of 70%. This means, on average, 7-out-of-10 of our option trade recommendations make you money and we hope to have an even better success rate for 2013.

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Trader Comments:
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL. REGINA L.

    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help. STEVE T.

    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide. SCOTT H.

    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485 PETER G.

    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming. LAWRENCE O.

    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again! C.J.

    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace! SHAUN

    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good profitable calls. Keep up the good work. MICHAEL K.

    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!
    PARAG P.

    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN. JAY P.

    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You. MIKE

    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks. TRISH D.

    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock! MIN L.

    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you! JOE G.

    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming. GREG F.

    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade. NOEL

    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today. TODD F.

    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you! PAUL H.

    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ” NOEL

    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.” CHRISTIAN

    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.” JOHN

    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.” CHARLES M.

    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.” BRYAN C.

    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.” JOHN H.

    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.” JEFFREY

    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.” ED

    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.” GREG

    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.” KEN

    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.” GARETT

    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.” TERENCE

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

    Hi Rick,

    Wow!! my account it up 70% since i joined last month and market is going the opposite direction. Really appreciate your service. I just wanted to drop a note to say THANK YOU. Hope to be with you guys for a very long time. Mel


    Great call on Fosl I bought the may 120 puts for 3.70 yesterday morning just sold for $32.00 today
    Keep up the great work
    Thank you, Henri

    Rick –

    I bought 10 Deckers Outdoor (DECK) May 55 puts at $0.50 on 4/26/12 and sold them on 4/27/12 for $1.65. I made $1150 in one day. Thanks. I knew something good would happen sooner or later.
    HOW THE HECK did you know Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) was going to go down 20 points???!!!! I bought 10 of the May 35 puts at $0.49 and then 5 more at .30. I sold them at 5.80. Thank you again.
    You have made a believer out of me. Alan

    Rick –
    I have only been a member for about 6 weeks but I have done well on most of the trades. My first two were QQQ and SPY a month ago and since then I've gotten into the groove and been doing well.
    I try to execute the trades that you recommend as soon as you send them out, sometimes I can't and I miss the Entry price. However, sometimes when I miss the Entry, the price goes down and I get a better price.
    That's exactly what happened with GMCR.
    You recommended it at around $.81 I think, but by the time I got to it, the price was $.27. I bought 100 Puts on Wednesday May 2, 2012 and sold half of them 24 hours later at $5.95 for a nice 2,203% gain. As per your recommendation, as GMCR went above $30 I sold the remaining 50 Puts at $5.50 for a slightly less 2,037% gain.
    On average that one trade netted me a 2,120% gain, entirely based on YOUR recommendation (and a little bit of luck). To put this in real terms, I risked $2,700 on Wednesday and pocketed $54,550 just 24 hours later.
    So uhh, let's do that again real soon!!
    Feel free to use my name. The tax guys have me on speed-dial already anyway. Dennis

    That was awesome on your GMCR pick, I know how risky it can been holding into earnings but you pulled it off. 
    I just started my autotrading with you today and am in on your QQQ play. I look forward this service. 
    I have a busy career and I have tried to follow and trade throughout the day and found it too hard. I hope you continue to have a great year, I plan to go along for the ride. I am starting slow but will pile more in once I have secured some profits. 
    Keep up the good work your trading has been spot on. I am sure you paid your dues to get this point in your career. Anthony


    Great call on GMCR!  I have been trading for about 15 years actively.  This may be the best trade I ever made.  Got in on Monday, April 30 and the stock was up from when you recommended it.  It went up further after I got in.  Here are the facts:
    Monday, April 30th: Bought 15 June 37's at $1.25= $1900 approx
    Thursday, May 3rd: Sold 15 June 37's at $9.30=$13,950
    Gain for the week: $12,050.
    I understand you will not get them all right.  It’s important to ride those winners and as you could tell from my selling price, I sold when the stock went to $28.10, so left a little on the table.  Who can complain.
    Keep the suggestions coming, looking for another jump on your FSLR, one that I have been riding very hard.
    Best regards, Bob

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