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Monday, January 30th, 2012
1:40pm (EST)
Futures were weak throughout the night and worsened as the market headed towards the opening bell this morning. Much of the weakness can be blamed on Greece’s failure to come to an agreement on how to address their budget deficits which is dragging into the week after rumors persisted a deal was close over the weekend.
We talked about some of the issues that need to be addressed and that the main holdup seems to be Germany which wants to control the tax and spending decisions for the country. This has created a difficult environment and the market doesn’t like uncertainty.
Economic news here at home has come in ahead of expectations which have helped the bulls hold support. Personal Income rose 0.5% in December versus forecasts for an increase of 0.4%. Personal Spending was unchanged while expectations were for an increase of 0.1%. And finally, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index posted a reading of 15.3 which was higher than forecasts.
Although the bears are dominating today’s action, there’s some strength in certain stocks which is a good sign.
The Dow is down 66 points to 12,594 after falling through the 12,600 level. We said the first wave of support would come at 12,600-12,550 and the low today has been 12,529.
The S&P is lower by 7 points to 1,309 and has tested the 1,300 level while the Nasdaq is off by 8 points to 2,808.
Some stocks showing strength include Apple (AAPL, $452.11, up $4.83), Microsoft (MSFT, $29.43, up $0.20) and International Business Machines (IBM, $191.26, up $0.80) which is letting us know the bulls have backup.
The bears will likely do some damage today but the last few days in January and the first couple in February are normally pretty bullish so let’s see what happens. Most of our trades are holding up well despite today’s weakness so let’s go see where we are at. Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.
Tags: blue-chip stocks, chicken option trade, chicken trade, momentum, momentum options, option mentoring, stock options trading advisors, straddle option trade
Posted in Economic News, Market Analysis | Comments Off
Monday, January 30th, 2012
9:00am (EST)
Picking a market top or market bottom is never easy because charts can only help so much. As an option trader, we must deal with time expiration so we have to be right within a certain time frame. We also have to factor in the global markets, cross-current tensions, interest rates, defaults, saber rattling, and other headline risks. However, when all of those factors work in your favor, you can have an incredible ride.
We were probably the only newsletter which called for the Dow to challenge 13,000 back in November. Now that we are here, picking the next trend is a little more difficult because there are a new set of circumstances. The market knows where it will be in 6 months. We don’t and neither do the pros but we have called this one right once the indexes broke out of their trading range 4 months ago.
Trading ranges can last weeks or months and we must now figure out what February and March will bring but the trend is still up and we have outlined support levels to watch on the way down. We have said we expect a pullback in February (which starts Wednesday) but last week’s Fed announcement could have been a wildcard for the bulls.
Sure, at some point, the market will get a pullback. The suit-and-ties and talking heads have been calling for one all month, but the trend is still up and there are a lot of support layers the bears will have to crack to change that. The market didn’t set new 52-week highs, yet, but the bulls came close. We also like to call the overshoot to the upside the “fluff” and it’s quite possible if the bulls continue with their momentum, the market will hit our upper-end targets before the pullback. Either way, we are enjoying the ride and we have our seatbelts fastened.
The Dow fell 74 points, or 0.6%, to settle at 12,660 on Friday. The blue-chips tested a low of 12,630 midday but held short-term support at 12,600 which had been prior resistance…
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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more please click here. We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet and we are one of the very few option newsletters which posted a powerful 2011 return. In fact, we have NEVER had a losing year since forming in 2007 and we are off to an incredible start for 2012.
We offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter which is 17-1 for January, including 6 triple-digit winners! Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis and is 23-0 on winning trades in 13 months, including 7-0 for January 2012.
Tags: blue-chip stocks, chicken option trade, chicken trade, momentum, momentum options, option mentoring, stock options trading, straddle option trade
Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off
Sunday, January 29th, 2012
11:00pm (EST)
1. Market Summary
2. Alfac (AFL) On Deck
3. Earnings
4. Weekly Wrap Portfolio Update
5. Week Ahead
(To view the charts, please log into the Members Area and go to the Weekly Wrap Premium section.)
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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more please click here. We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet and we are one of the very few option newsletters which posted a powerful 2011 return. In fact, we have NEVER had a losing year since forming in 2007 and we are off to an incredible start for 2012.
We offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter which is 17-1 for January, including 6 triple-digit winners! Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis and is 7-0 for January. Even better, we could go 8-0 in February. Sign-up now and receive access instantly to our stock options trading recommendations!
Tags: blue-chip stocks, covered call option trade, momentum, momentum options, option mentoring, stock options trading advisors, straddle option trade
Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off
Friday, January 27th, 2012
1:15pm (EST)
We said no Greece deal would weigh on the market this week and perhaps keep the reins on the bulls. If the closing bell sounded right now, the week would end mixed with Tech showing the only positive finish.
The Dow came into the week at 12,720 and is at 12,646, down 88 points.
The S&P 500 started Monday at 1,315 and is currently down 5 points to 1,313.
The Nasdaq began the week at 2,786 and is at 2,808, up 3 points.
Over a quarter of the S&P 500 companies have announced earnings this week and next week marks the height of the season before we start tapering off. Some of the companies we will be watching like a hawk next week include Aflac (AFL, $48.70, down $0.08), Amazon.Com (AMZN, $195.20, up $1.88), Broadcom (BRCM, $35.20, down $0.09) and United Parcel Service (UPS, $75.98, up $0.14) on Tuesday.
Wednesday, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG, $364.80, down $1.01), Electronic Arts (EA, $17.91, up $0.25), Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR, $52.61, up $3.27), Hershey (HSY, $61.37, down $0.16), Las Vegas Sands (LVS, $49.22, up $0.25) and Qualcomm (QCOM, $57.62, down $0.20) will announce their quarterly results.
Thursday and Friday will also feature some companies of interest and these are some of the main stocks we actively follow just to name a dozen or so.
We continue to chuckle when we hear that stock picking is a lost art, which we have heard for the last 3 months. We must be doing something good to hit 17-out-of-18 wininng trades to start the year for our Daily and to go 23-0 over the last 13 months for our Weekly Wrap covered call trade Portfilios.
We have some last minute updates to the 2 new trades we added this morning as we have added our exit targets. Let’s go see where we are at inside the Members Area.
January has been incredibly good to us and we will cover the charts for the indexes and our current trades on Sunday night in our Weekly Wrap and Monday morning for the Daily. We have a busy weekend of homework but it isn’t “work” because we have been banking profits all month long. Until then, have a great weekend everyone!
Tags: AFL, AMZN, CMG, dndn, EA, GMCR, HSY, LVS, QCOM, UPS
Posted in Earnings, Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off
Friday, January 27th, 2012
9:00am (EST)
The bulls made a run at the April/ May 2011 highs on Thursday and now the Wall Street pros and talking heads are calling for a pullback. Funny thing is, they have been calling for a correction all month. Economic news was decent and earnings once again came in above expectations but Wall Street was right, the market “pulled back” yesterday.
A bigger-than-expected jump in durable-goods orders, which came in at 3% versus expectations for a rise to 2%, was the good news. The semi-bad, unemployment edged-up as Initial Claims jumped 21,000 to 377,000. This is still below 400K and we said to watch this rise in January. If claims can stay below 400,000 in February, and maybe improve, then the bulls might still have some gas in the tank.
After 4 steps forward, housing took one step back as sales of new single-family homes fell for the first time in four months in December. This was expected in our books as homebuyers usually focus on the holidays in December if they didn’t rush to get into the new house by Christmas or knew the paperwork wouldn’t be finished in time.
If we can get some rebound numbers in February, which starts next Wednesday, then the rally might have further to run. It’s been a warm winter here on the Left Coast this year.
As far as the official numbers -
The Dow dropped a double-deuce (22 points), or 0.2%, to close at 12,734. The blue-chips reached a peak of 12,842, which triggered our 12,800 target we gave back in November, while the low was 12,695.
The S&P 500 slipped 8 points, or 0.6%, to settle at 1,318. The index kissed 1,333 but traded outside our 1,325-1,350 zone after touching a low of 1,313 with an hour to go in yesterday’s session.
The Nasdaq fell 13 points, or 0.5%, to finish at 2,805. Tech traded up to 2,834 and held our 2,800 target after kissing 2,794. We have said to watch 2,887 which is the 52-week high for the index and have mentioned a run to 3,000 could come on fluff.
The S&P Volatility Index (VIX, 18.57, up 0.26) traded down to 16.80 at the open and we have been saying for months the VIX was would move from the mid-30’s, down to 22.50, and then down to 15 on a continued run by the bulls. The “fluff’ should get the VIX down to 15 but we also realize the VIX could trade down to 12. For news subscribers, a declining VIX is bullish.
A few weeks ago we said to be prepared for a pullback in February which doesn’t start until next Wednesday and the first full week of February isn’t until next Monday. With ALL of the suit-and-ties, talking heads, and everyone else going on record this week and saying this week is the top, maybe the market ignores them until February officially starts.
This leaves a lot of room for a run past resistance and the “fluff” could give Wall Street fund managers fits because they are already underperforming the market. This could also get some money off the sidelines from individual investors. The market could also get some positive Greece news today or next week which could also extend a possible 4-week rally into next but the bulls have to hold their lead today which we will cover in the afternoon update.
Then again, the market could pull back but it will take a lot to change the TREND and we have support pegged.
We have closed 3 more winning call option trades this week for profits of 114%, 58% and 107%. We may close one or two more trades today and our 2012 CLOSED Track Record is now 16-1 for the Daily and 7-0 for the Weekly Wrap. Let’s keep the momentum going.
Futures are lower as we head to press and look like this: Dow (-55), S&P 500 (-6), Nasdaq (-7). Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.
Tags: binary options, call options, futures options, high beta stocks, Hot stocks, momentum options, Momentum stocks, option market, option tips, options, options mentoring, options trading, options trading course, stock market options, VIX, weekly options, what are options
Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary, Trade Update | Comments Off
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Bears Growling as Bulls Push 52-Week Highs
Monday, January 30th, 2012
9:00am (EST)
Picking a market top or market bottom is never easy because charts can only help so much. As an option trader, we must deal with time expiration so we have to be right within a certain time frame. We also have to factor in the global markets, cross-current tensions, interest rates, defaults, saber rattling, and other headline risks. However, when all of those factors work in your favor, you can have an incredible ride.
We were probably the only newsletter which called for the Dow to challenge 13,000 back in November. Now that we are here, picking the next trend is a little more difficult because there are a new set of circumstances. The market knows where it will be in 6 months. We don’t and neither do the pros but we have called this one right once the indexes broke out of their trading range 4 months ago.
Trading ranges can last weeks or months and we must now figure out what February and March will bring but the trend is still up and we have outlined support levels to watch on the way down. We have said we expect a pullback in February (which starts Wednesday) but last week’s Fed announcement could have been a wildcard for the bulls.
Sure, at some point, the market will get a pullback. The suit-and-ties and talking heads have been calling for one all month, but the trend is still up and there are a lot of support layers the bears will have to crack to change that. The market didn’t set new 52-week highs, yet, but the bulls came close. We also like to call the overshoot to the upside the “fluff” and it’s quite possible if the bulls continue with their momentum, the market will hit our upper-end targets before the pullback. Either way, we are enjoying the ride and we have our seatbelts fastened.
The Dow fell 74 points, or 0.6%, to settle at 12,660 on Friday. The blue-chips tested a low of 12,630 midday but held short-term support at 12,600 which had been prior resistance…
*****************************************
If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more please click here. We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet and we are one of the very few option newsletters which posted a powerful 2011 return. In fact, we have NEVER had a losing year since forming in 2007 and we are off to an incredible start for 2012.
We offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter which is 17-1 for January, including 6 triple-digit winners! Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis and is 23-0 on winning trades in 13 months, including 7-0 for January 2012.
Tags: blue-chip stocks, chicken option trade, chicken trade, momentum, momentum options, option mentoring, stock options trading, straddle option trade
Posted in Market Analysis, Market Commentary | Comments Off