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MomentumOptionsTrading.com Weekly Wrap for 3/18/12

Sunday, March 18th, 2012

11:30pm (EST)

1.  Market Summary 

2.  Apple Hits $600 as New iPad Makes Debut

3.  Hershey (HSY) –Everybody Loves Chocolate

4.  Earnings 

5.  Weekly Wrap Portfolio Update 

6.  Week Ahead

(To view the charts, please log into the Members Area and go to the Weekly Wrap Premium section)

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If you are not a subscriber but would like to read more please click here.  We are one of the fastest growing stock options trading advisors on the internet and we are off to a great start for 2012.  We offer 2-3 powerful call or put option trades each week (depending on market conditions) aimed at triple-digit returns for our Daily newsletter which is 35-11 over the first 3 months of 2012.  Our list of winners include 131% and 114% on 2 MGM trades, 200% on SGMS, 107% on AFL, 100% on STX, 82% on TSM and 125% on MSFT just to name a few.  We currently have 3 triple-digit winning call option trades, one a 300% winner and another is up 400%, that are still open in our portfolio.  In other words, these solid gains could have turned a $10,000 trading account into $32,000 for a 220% return using our recommendations so far this year!

Our Weekly Wrap Covered Call Portfolio strides for double-digit returns on a monthly basis and is 17-0 for 2012.  We were 16-0 in 2011.  Even better, we could add another 4-5 winners in April!  Some of our recent winners include 27% on CLNE, 17% on VVUS, 19% on MGM, 18% on DNDN, 20% on BAC, 55% on SZYM, and 20% on DAR.  Remember, if you can make 20% on just 5 trades, you will double your money.

So what are you waiting for?  Sign-up now and receive access instantly to our stock options trading recommendations!

Bulls End 3-day Skid

Thursday, March 8th, 2012

9:00am (EST)

The market rebounded on Wednesday following an upbeat day on news that Greece would meet today’s deadline for its bond debt-swap while Apple (AAPL, $530.69, up $0.43) garnered much of the attention here at home.  Although trading was choppy for the first hour, the bulls maintained a steady stream of momentum throughout the day as the indexes reached new highs in the last hour of trading.  The bears made a brief showing at the open and worked on the Dow but they had little reason to stay once prior support levels were cleared.

The Dow added 78 points, or 0.6%, to close at 12,837.  The blue-chips tested the 12,800 level at the start but the bears were able to draw blood after pushing a low of 12,751.  It was only a scratch though as it represented an 8-point loss at the time.  The bulls made it up to 12,857 and we would like to see 12,900 cleared today on the close.  A move under 12,750 brings 12,600 back into play.

The S&P 500 gained 9 points, or 0.7%, to settle at 1,352.  The index held green all day and pushed a high of 1,355.  It was sweet to see the bulls retake the 1,350 level and a close above 1,365 would be bullish today.  If the 1,340 level fails then the index is destined to test 1,325-1,300.

The Nasdaq jumped 25 points, or 0.9% to finish at 2,935.  Tech made a strong showing despite Apple losing its steam and reached a peak of 2,940.  We were happy to see 2,925 cleared shortly after the open and the 2,900 level hold.  A drop below this area spells trouble.

The Russell 2000 popped over 1% after advancing 9 points to close at 795.  The index fell just short of reclaiming 800 but went out near its high.

Futures are showing a strong open as word spreads that Greece should get its debt bond deal done this afternoon.  Dow futures are up 68 points to 12,909 while the S&P futures are higher by 10 points to 1,362.  Nasdaq 100 futures are showing a gain of 17 pints to 2,625.

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Apple’s (AAPL) Big Day

Wednesday, March 7th, 2012

12:45pm (EST)

The European have just closed and finished in the green as optimism grows over a Greek debt deal.  The uncertainty knocked the wind of the bulls’ sails on Tuesday as the major indexes fell 1.5%, on average.  The bears were able to penetrate key levels of support but not by much.  We often mention how the indexes tend to overshoot support and resistance and yesterday’s pullback still had the major indexes above their 50-day moving averages. 

The big news here at home will be Apple’s (AAPL, $535.72, up $5.46) update at 1pm (EST) for the expected iPad3.  There is talk that the company might keep the iPad2 around, at a discounted price, to compete with Amazon’s (AMZN, $184.77, up $3.68) toy tablet which hasn’t been much of a threat.

Apple already commands a 75+% market share of the tablet industry and its rivals are splitting the pie in 5% slices.

Of course, there is risk today if the hype doesn’t live up to expectations.  The key cool features that Appleholics expect are 4G LTE, a better screen and a faster chip.  If 4G is included, expect it to be in the iPhone5 which would be super bullish as the move to high quality on the go continues to explode.  Apple could also introduce the iTV but we think that rumor is a little premature.

There are rumors of some type of new touch screen technology so the wow factor could be there to drive Apple past $550 today.  If there is a disappointment, then shares could test $500.

We would love to trade the options and we have looked at the Weekly options on Apple but we are on the fence.  This is not an official recommendation but let’s look at the picture on what could happen based on a 5% move in the stock.  

The Apple March 555 calls (AAPL120309C00555000, $1.45, down $0.05) have traded over 3,000 contracts and have a “breakeven” point at $556.45, technically.  The Apple March 515 puts (AAPL120309P00515000, $1.24, down $1.10) are down 50% but could get active on a pullback.

Both of these options together would be considered a strangle option trade and the total cost would be $2.70.  This would be a $2,700 investment on 10 calls and puts and here is what would need to happen.

If shares of Apple are at $510 or lower by Friday’s close, the trade would be a double.  If shares are at $560 or better, the trade would be a 100% winner.  If shares stay in between these ranges then the premiums could get whacked and the options could expire worthless.

We will monitor this trade but we will be sitting on the sidelines with some popcorn watching the action.  We think Apple has a few surprises up its sleeve so it should be interesting.

As we head to press, the Dow has reclaimed the 12,800 level and is up 75 points to 12,834 while the S&P 500 is higher by 9 points to 1,352.  The Nasdaq is showing a gain of 28 points to 2,938.  We have updated our current trades before the show so subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Bears Grab Early Lead

Monday, March 5th, 2012

1:25pm (EST)

The market has gotten off to a slow start as futures were weak throughout the night.  We spent a lot of time looking at the charts over the weekend and the 5-week trading range we have been in has been frustrating to a degree.  While we continue to take profits when we can, it’s been harder to establish a clear trend as the indexes continue to churn sideways.  We mentioned this morning and in last night’s Weekly Wrap that the Russell 2000 (800.10, down 2.32 points) was breaking down like a rented mule and needed to hold 800 but there are some other sectors showing weakness which has lead to today’s decline.

Economic news has come in better-than-expected but China lowered its GDP (Gross Domestic Product) figures which offset the good news here at home.  The February ISM non-manufacturing index came in at 57.3, versus expectations for a print of 56, while Factory Orders showed a decrease of 1.0% in January, versus expectations for a 1.5% decline.      

Meanwhile, China lowered its GDP target to 7.5% from 8% which has been a goal for them since 2005.  This was one of the key reasons the overseas markets were weak when they opened.  China said that it needs to shift to a more sustainable and efficient economic model which could cut its reliance on exports and capital spending in favor of increased consumption.  The news wasn’t all that bad as many analysts expected them to lower their GDP to 7% or less.

The two big events this week is the expected announcement of Apple’s (AAPL, $535.76, down $9.42) iPad 3 and Friday’s unemployment numbers.  The headlines that come from the news will surely sway the markets and it may or may not be enough to break us out of this trading range but we are betting it will.

Given the lack of positive catalysts today, the bulls have struggled to gain momentum as the bears have held any advance in check.  The Dow is down 46 points to 12,931 while the S&P is lower by 8 points to 1,361.  The Nasdaq is off 28 points to 2,948.

Some good news for our portfolio – Our magicJack VocalTec (CALL, $23.26, up $1.28) call options continue to shine.  The trade is now up 179% and we are looking for shares to make a move north of $25 this week.  If not, our hard Stop will protect profits.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates and we will see the rest of yawl in the morning.        

Happy Birthday, Steve

Friday, February 24th, 2012

9:00am (EST)

Well, the bulls finally showed up to the playground on Thursday as they ran past the bears after a close first half.  We had a feeling coming into the week that Apple’s (AAPL, $516.39, up $3.35) shareholder meeting would put Wall Street in a good mood and they did for the most part.

There was no stock-split or dividend announcement, but today is Steve Jobs’ birthday, so it would be nice to see them honor him and the shareholders in some way on what would have been his 57th.

Apple admitted that the $100 billion it has in its coffers is more than enough to keep the company running at top notch and they were close to making a decision on a dividend.

As far as the market, the action was flat to start the session and the major averages quickly moved lower as it looked like another retest to short-term support.  It was and the bulls once again bought the dip and were back in control by lunchtime.

The Dow added 46 points, or 0.4%, to finish at 12,985.  The blue-chips kissed a high of 12,996 and it would be nice to see a close above 13K going into the weekend.  The low came in at 12,882 as support has been strong at 12,800 all week.

The S&P gained a six-pack, or 0.4%, to close at 1,363 after reaching a peak of 1,364.24.  The index traded down to 1,352 and 1,350 stuck like glue.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq popped 24 points higher, or 0.8%, to settle at 2,957.  Tech went out near its highs and will try to take out Tuesday’s 52-week high of 2,965 before the closing bell.  As of now, the index is higher by 5 points for the week and we would love to see at least a hold today at current levels.

We are still respecting the downside by taking smaller positions than normal but we mentioned in our Weekly Wrap there might not be a serious pullback until mid-March.  We did say the market would sputter in February and it has to some degree but the dip is being bought more aggressively than we thought.

Futures are showing a solid open and we have added some new trades today on our Watch List.  We don’t normally like to open new positions on a Friday but there is a NEW TRADE we are also trying to get into at the open.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the details.

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2012 Closed Trades:
    Our updated 2012 Track Record is now at 85-18 for an 82% win rate. We have closed 24-straight winning option trades since late March!

    Despite the recent volatility, we have given more "locks" to our subscribers than a Vegas bookie. If you started with a $10,000 trading account, our CLOSED option picks would have made you over 600% by now. In other words, YOUR $10,000 option trading account would be worth over $70,000 as we have become one of the most powerful option newsletters in the business. Our biggest trade of the year so far was hit in early May when shares of Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) fell 50% after an earnings miss which made our subscribers 576% on the put options!

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    Here are some of our other profitable triple-digit recommendations: Capital One (COF) call options +423% in 8 days, American Express (AXP) call options +310% in under 7 days, magicJack (CALL) call options +80% in 3 days, Microsoft (MSFT) call options +124%, STX call options +100% in 2 weeks, +114% and +131% on 2 MGM Resorts (MGM) call options trades in 3 weeks, +158% on Zynga (ZNGA) call options and +107% in Aflac (AFL) call options in 6 days. We also had a +200% winner with Scientific Games (SGMS). Some of our double-digit gains include +58% on WPRT calls, +80% on TSM and +38% on INT call options.

    Our Weekly Wrap is 35-0 since the start of 2011 and is 17-0 for 2012. Some of our winners include +55% on Solazyme (SZYM), +27% on Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE), +38% on Vivus (VVUS), +17% on MGM, +18% on Dendreon (DNDN), and +20% on Darling (DAR). Despite what the suit-and-ties say, you can make incredible gains trading the RIGHT covered calls.

    Over the past 5 years we are averaging a 75% winning percentage for all our trades despite volatile, flat and choppy markets. Come see why some of Wall Street's pros are following us instead of the Journal!

    Here are some of our profitable 2011 recommendations: ORLY call options +191%, VMW call options +100%, JOYG call options +169%; GS put options +184%; FDX put options +164%; OXY put options +74%; +137% on RIMM put options, +1,167% on RMBS puts in 11 days, +296% on FCX calls; +157% on ZAGG calls; +110% on LNKD puts; +133% on RLD put options.

    You can also request our Track Records to see all years by entering your email address which will allow you access to the portfolios.

    If you are missing these juicy profits, come give us a try. Get your password to our Members Area instantly when you sign up TODAY! One profitable trade will easily pay for your membership. You can request our 2008-2011 Track Records by sending us an email or filling out the box below. 665 Total Trades; 459 WINNERS or 7-out-of-10.


2008 - 2010
Track Record
94.05%
73% winners
Results are NOT compounded.

Request our detailed Track Records which are updated in our Members Area. As soon as you sign-up for a subsciption, you will have access to all open and closed trades for 2011 and past years.

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Trader Comments:

    REGINA L.
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year
    of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL.

    STEVE T.
    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help.

    SCOTT H.
    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide.

    PETER G.
    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485

    LAWRENCE O.
    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming.

    C.J.
    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the split...now up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your newsletter...it gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again!

    SHAUN
    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace!

    MICHAEL K.
    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good
    profitable calls. Keep up the good work.

    PARAG P.
    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!

    JAY P.
    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN.

    MIKE
    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You.

    TRISH D.
    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks.

    MIN L.
    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock!

    JOE G.
    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you!

    GREG F.
    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming.

    NOEL
    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade.

    TODD F.
    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today.

    PAUL H.
    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you!

    NOEL
    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ”

    CHRISTIAN
    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.”

    JOHN
    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.”

    CHARLES M.
    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.”

    BRYAN C.
    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.”

    JOHN H.
    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.”

    JEFFREY
    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.”

    ED
    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.”

    GREG
    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.”

    KEN
    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.”

    GARETT
    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.”

    TERENCE
    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.”

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    3/18/11
    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    2/3/12
    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

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