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Archive for the ‘Apple’ Category

How You Like Them Apples (AAPL), Carl? New Trade!!!

Tuesday, January 28th, 2014

2:20pm (EST)

We touched base briefly on Apple’s (AAPL, $507.23, down $43.27) earnings this morning and we said going into the announcement they would post an incredible quarter but could “sandbag” their numbers going forward.

The company has been famous for presenting earnings on a silver platter over the years but has a history of lowering Wall Street’s expectations for upcoming quarters.

Apple has said it wouldn’t let the air of the balloon and would call it like they see it but it appears this is another classic example of over-delivering and under-promising.

Apple reported earnings of $14.50 a share versus the suit-and-ties expectations for $14.09 a share.  Revenue also came in above expectations at $57.6 billion versus estimates for $57.46 billion.  Incredible.

For the recently ended quarter, Apple sold 51 million iPhones, 26 million iPads, and 4.8 million Macs, with gross margins of 37.9%.  The company generated $22.7 billion in cash and ended the quarter with nearly $160 billion in its coffers.

For those that are saying Apple isn’t a “growth” company, there aren’t too many firms that can say they are banking $20-$25 billion per QUARTER.

Shares have tested and held support at $500 after Apple said it sees its current quarter revenue coming in at $42-$44 billion versus a forecast of $46.05 billion.

We had a feeling shares could move $50+ based on Apple’s numbers and when we heard activist investor Carl Icahn pulling a Richard Sherman last week, we had a feeling their could be a selloff.  Captain Carl has his panties in a knot as he tweeted he bought another $500 million in stock today but there hasn’t been a huge bounce off the lows.

There is a chance shares test $475-$450 on continued weakness and where we would look for a bottom if they fall below $500.  Carl probably is committing another $1 billion to his position and why he only bought half today in case shares continue to drift lower.

Of course, we are speculating but we should have been dabbling in the near-term put options as we could have made some nice profits in less than 24 hours.

The February put options have WEEKLY options on Apple and while the “regular” style options offer more time, there are also more expensive.

For example, the Apple February 500 puts (weekly) (AAPL140207P00500000, $6.35, up $4.15) went into Monday’s close at $2.20 and are currently up 189%.  They opened at $6.25 and reached a peak of $9.55 this morning.

The February 500 puts (AAPL140222P00500000, $9.45, up $5.95) were going for $3.50 into yesterday’s close.  These put options opened at $11.35 this morning and touched a high of $13.45 on Apple’s dip to $502.

Carl is probably in Tim Cook’s ear and Apple’s board’s rear to spend more money buying back the company’s stock and used today’s purchase to make a stand to help boost the price.

It remains to see if shares remain soft as Charmin or hold $500 but Carl may have to back up his talk with another $500 million if shares fall to $450.  After all, it’s a no brainer, right?

Despite the 8% pullback in Apple, Tech has held up well after an opening dip and has been in positive territory as we head into the second half of trading.

The Dow is advancing 88 points to 15,926 while the S&P 500 is up 9 points to 1,790.  The Nasdaq is higher by 4 points to 4,087 while the Russell 2000 is popping a 6-pack to 1,134.  The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX, 16.27, down 1.15) is down 7%.

We have a New Trade we are getting into so let’s get on it.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates!

Dow Clears 15,600/ 2 New Trades!!!

Tuesday, October 29th, 2013

12:10pm (EST)

The bulls are pushing fresh highs despite a mixed Tech sector with the blue-chips leading the way.  Apple’s (AAPL, $522.26, down $7.62) shares have traded north and south of breakeven after reporting earnings last night.  Shares were initially up a few bucks on the announcement but then dropped over $20 to test $500 in extended trading before recovering to end slightly lower.

Shares have traded to a high of $539.25 this morning but have slipped to a low of $520.87 before rebounding to current levels.  The company said gross margins were slightly lower which spooked Wall Street but with what appears to be an upcoming Apple Christmas, there is reason for optimism.  Apple reported earnings of $8.26 a share on revenue of $37.5 billion.  The suit-and-ties were looking for $7.93 a share on sales of $36.8 billion.

Looking ahead, Apple said 4Q revenue would come in at $55-$58 billion while the consensus estimate is at $55.65 billion.  We wouldn’t be surprised to see Apple earn over $60 billion for the current quarter as they have a history of sandbagging their numbers.

The Dow is currently up 55 points to 15,624 while the S&P 500 is higher by 5 points to 1,767.  The Nasdaq is even at 3,940.

We have a lot to cover today with our current trades and we have 2 New Trades we are getting into.  Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates and stay locked-and-loaded into the close in case we have additional Profit Alerts or New Trades.  We could also have a New Trade for our Weekly Wrap.

Flat Action Ahead of Apple’s (AAPL) Announcement

Monday, October 28th, 2013

1:45pm (EST)

Futures were pointing towards a nice open as we finished up our Weekly Wrap and ahead of the European markets opened late last night but had weakened ahead of the bell here at home.  Tech was showing strength but the mixed open has lead to some choppy trading as we head into the second half of the session.

We covered a ton of information and clues to look for as far as the bulls attempt to continue their momentum while the bears try to stop it this week.  Of course, one of the market-weighing events will be today’s earnings report from Apple (AAPL, $528.61, up $2.65) after the bell.  We talked about Wall Street’s expectations for the company and the chart work we have been doing over the last few weeks is pointing towards a huge move in after-hours trading and into Tuesday’s session.

We also profiled call options from last week that doubled ahead of the news and the option pits have been extremely active today.  While we don’t have an official trade for Apple going into the report, we do have a number of current trades that will be affected by the outcome.  Our portfolio is also light so we could take an earnings trade or two this week as we have a number of them on our Watch List.  We profiled a Burger King Worldwide (BKW, $20.70, up $0.94) trade on our sister site on Friday that more than doubled on today’s open and our Watch List will be profiling up to 10 possible new trades this week and into next.

We could have a super busy Tuesday with some New Trades but for now let’s stand pat and let the other players come into the pot.  We could have some nice paydays coming this week with our current chips in play and we don’t need to raise the stakes until the action starts to heat up which will be very soon.

As we head to press, the Dow is up 21 points to 15,591 while the S&P 500 is higher by 3 points to 1,763.  The Nasdaq is down a point to 3,942.

Subscribers, check the Members Area for the updates.

Apple Continues to Look Golden/ Profit Alert (HRB)!!!

Friday, October 25th, 2013

1:05pm (EST)

We had two prediction this week for the market:  1)  Apple could trade to $550 over the near-term and 2) the Nasdaq could clear 4,000.  We aren’t there yet but we are getting close.

Shares of Apple (AAPL, $527.72, down $4.19) are slightly lower today but they have put in a good week after closing last Friday a shade under $509.  The stock tripped $533 this morning but is currently down 1%.

Our chart work from the Weekly Wrap and Monday morning outlook has been showing a surge to $550 could be in the works following the formation of 2 “golden crosses” we highlighted.  We said a move past $500 could be powerful and despite today’s pullback we still believe $550 triggers.

The Apple November 550 calls (AAPL131116C00550000, $10.00 down $0.40) opened Monday’s session at $4.75 and closed yesterday session at $10.40.  Today, they reached $11 before the pullback and are still a double at current levels.

The “golden crosses” were a great signal to go long and we would imagine the talking heads will be peaking at our charts.  We were a little early on a weekly Apple trade earlier this month and if we were in this trade we would have a decision to make.

The company announces earnings on Monday, after the close, and shares are poised to move $10 or more.  At current levels, Apple could trade north of $575 or south of  $475 in after-hours and into Tuesday’s session.

The wise move would be to close half the trade for a 100% win and let the rest ride on a bullish push past $550.  It would be easier to rest over the weekend knowing you would be playing with the house’s money and it would be a risk-free trade.

While we weren’t in this trade, we have also put in a sweet week as we have closed a number of profitable option trades for gains of 138%, 85%, 50% and 13%.

The market is still up as we head to press but was close to slipping into the red.  The Dow is up 28 points to 15,537 while the S&P 500 is advancing 3 points to 1,755.  The Nasdaq is higher by 8 points to 3,937 and the Russell 2000 is gaining 3 points to 1,115.

We also have another Profit Alert on a trade that banked us 50% and a New Trade!  We normally don’t open new positions on Friday’s but we are expecting an explosive move in the market over the next 2 weeks to continued new highs – if current support levels hold.

We will have to check the charts over the weekend to reaffirm our stance but that is what we are seeing despite the million of market calls for a massive pullback of 10% or a correction of 15%-20%.  The suit-and-ties have been wrong all year long and while there will be a pullback at some point they just might have to wait.

We will be back Sunday night with the Weekly Wrap and Monday morning with the Daily.  We will be watching the market into the close like we always do and we could also have a New Trade for the Weekly Wrap before we roll so stay locked-and-loaded.  If not, we will see you then and have a great weekend everyone!

9 Million Apple’s (AAPL) Keeps Bears Away/ Profit Alert (JCP)

Monday, September 23rd, 2013

11:45am (EST)

Futures were slightly higher throughout the night and into this morning but turned negative shortly before the opening bell on mixed economic data.  The reports weren’t market movers as Wall Street and the globe will be focused on the news out of Washington DC this week.

We went over the political rhetoric in our Weekly Wrap and in this morning’s Daily so we would rather talk stocks than rehash the upcoming zombie drama.

Apple (AAPL, $485.09, up $17.68) made a push to $500 on the open after saying it sold 9 million new IPhones over the weekend.  Bullish analysts had expectations of maybe 5-6 million units being sold and once again underestimated the company’s ability to create buzz.

The gold iPhone 5S sold out with reports of the gold model going for a dime ($1,000) on eBay (EBAY, $54.54, down $0.41).  The stores are still getting new shipments regularly so sales could be strong all week.  Apple also said over 200 million users have downloaded their latest iOS 7 software and that it now has over 11 million users for its recently launched iTunes Radio.

We listed some Apple call options last week on a possible push to $500 and they have done well today.  Although it wasn’t an official recommendation, savvy traders locked-in some nice profits on the initial pop.

We also want to take a minute to talk about BlackBerry (BBRY, $8.22, down $0.51) following Friday’s plunge from over $10 to single-digits.

We mentioned in our Weekly Wrap that we expected shares to test $8 as we were looking for a short candidate but the buyout rumors needed to die down before we pulled the trigger.

We didn’t get the opportunity as shares dropped like a rock last Friday after the company warned Wall Street it would miss estimates.  BlackBerry is slated to announce their numbers this Friday but has a history of giving the suit-and-ties a heads up.

The stock is dead money over the near-term with risk down to $6 and upside potential to $10.  The easy money has been made and the current risk/ reward isn’t too appealing to go long or short.  Perhaps selling options against the stock would work but those returns are limited and also not worth the risk.

As far as the market, the indexes are off their lows and are trying to hold the first wave of support.  While we expected a lower Monday, there is a chance the bulls make once last push at new highs if the pullback doesn’t get worse so the close will be important.

The Dow is down 55 points to 15,396 while the S&P 500 is lower by 9 points to 1,700.  The Nasdaq is off 20 points to 3,755.

We have some nice pin action going so we wanted to go to press a little early as we have a Profit Alert for one of our current trades.  We could have additional Profit Alerts and/ or New Trades for both our Daily and Weekly Wrap so stay close to your email inboxes after lunchtime!  Subscribers, hit the Members Area for now.

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Trader Comments:
    I just want you to know that I love the way you write and explain everything. I am new to this, and have lost 50% of my account until I met you guys. Iit is slowly coming back. I will be calling to set up a year of membership rather than the one quarter. Thanks again, and LOVE YOU ALL. REGINA L.

    Rick, I appreciate the advice. I think I will just sit back and utilize your selections only for awhile. This will obviously save me a great deal of money in commissions. I have gone thru your entire site including the video on money management. This has brought me to the stark realization that I have been trading too much for too little. I definitely have not been "swinging for the fences", but I also think I have been getting impatient with trades and getting out too fast. This has no doubt caused me too trade too much. I like, and definitely agree on, the advice on money management. Thanks for the help. STEVE T.

    Thank you!!! I held on to the NFLX position since Nov. 13 at a cost of $1.89. Sold ½ on April 14th for a 540% return and the other ½ upon earnings for 702% return. Total profit of $11,615 a 621% return. Keep the recommendations coming and thanks to you and your team for the service you provide. SCOTT H.

    Rick & Team, GREAT Call on NKE for my two trading accounts:
    1) Entry at .65, out at 1.45, 1.55 Profit = $415
    2) Entry at .60, out at 1.75, 1.50 Profit = $485 PETER G.

    Hey Rick! Here is an update on what your picks have done in my accounts.

    1) Great call on the JoyG March 55. I bought when you said, then bought again on one of the dips. Booked 80+% profit. Made enough to pay for your service for years to come.

    2) Also booked profits on your Berk Feb 74 (80%) and threw a major chunk of change at the March 75’s (190+%). I would have never known that Buffet's stock had split if it weren’t for your service. Bought the shares also for the long haul. Won’t look at them for another 20 years. Great job on getting us in before the indexes did.

    3) Took profit on your Imax March 12.5. 20 cent trailing stop at 1.90 yesterday. Not sure what the profit on that was, but profit is profit.

    I see that you took a loss on some of these. It’s all good. I look to trade your “ideas” not your exact calls. I THANK YOU! For your ideas and commentary. Keep up the good work. And keep those ideas coming. LAWRENCE O.

    Loving this subscription so far! I got into the BRK feb 76 calls the day you talked about right before the up over 300% (0.70 to 2.475)! Keep the good picks coming and let's see some OSIS and EMC upside soon! Just wanted to share my positive enthusiasm on your gives us individual investors great ideas on not only the options market, but also the broader equity market! Case in point is BRK...I can't always read the breaking business news but its easy to read your twice daily updates on my smartphone...helped me get some BRK shares immediately after the split which I will hold for the long haul! Thanks again! C.J.

    Aloha Rick - Thank you so much for the great CL pick. I am not sure if there was buy-out/merger news or what but at 3PM today Colgate-Palmolive absolutely EXPLODED to the upside, and my calls turned into green candy when they went from 1.40 to 3.8 in a matter of seconds! I even sold a few for over 4.0! Much thanks and keep the solid picks up my friend, honestly. Only a fool would scoff at 267% gains... Peace! SHAUN

    I like the fact that you ask for comments from subscribers. Good customer service. By the way, am enjoying the service so far. Some good profitable calls. Keep up the good work. MICHAEL K.

    Woo hoo! Out for 50% on WMT this am. Making up for my depression for getting out of pcln for a 30% gain monday :( you the man! any word on the manual? My friend Mike ( who I sent to your service) told me he emailed you about your integrity in reporting fills. I echo that sentiment big time.. keep it up! Cheers!
    PARAG P.

    Hi Rick, as a new member all I can say is, 'show off' LOL, with PCLN. JAY P.

    Rick, I am a new subscriber to your service, and I want to say I am impressed. I am impressed by your results, but more than that I am impressed by your reporting of your fills. You could have easily said you got that Wal-Mart call today for 80 cents, instead you reported 98 cents! Good job and keep it up, I watched the reporting of the fills first, and then I subscribed. Thank You. MIKE

    Hi, good morning. I jumped the gun a little on this one (PCLN). But still made $1,675.00 profit!! Very happy!! Keep up the good work!! Thanks. TRISH D.

    Hi there, I have joined recently, and I am very happy to tell you that I am up over $10,000 on your picks in a month. I started on 10/7 with the Intel pick. I'll be your member for life. Please don't quit on us. Also, I am learning a lot about options. I didn’t get in your recent APOL and that gold trade and only had one loss on CHK. I appreciate all the DD you do. I enjoy your market commentaries. Best advice site period, and I have tried a few here and there. Again, you guys rock! MIN L.

    Thanks be to Momentum Options Trading for providing me with some fantastic wins. I just started with this service and am up nearly 50% in less than a month. There have been losses, but if I manage them properly, I will continue the best efforts given on the blog (in which there are no complaints). What a great cause for humanity. I feel more confident about my trades and continue to play the wins. Best of all, I am now keeping my regular paychecks in the bank! Thank you! JOE G.

    Rick - I wanted to say thanks for getting me started on the right foot with your service. I have made six trades since starting on October 22, 2009. Five are winners and One loser netting me $6,245. Thanks again and keep the trade recommendations coming. GREG F.

    I got into the Nike 60 Call at 1.85, sold at 5.00, also bought a 55 put at 1.05, but got stopped out at .35. What a ride! $2830.00 in the black even with the put. It's right at 100% return. I hope earnings season coming up is going to look like this trade. NOEL

    Nice call on Nike. I think I'll go buy a pair with my profits! : ) I did the straddle for safety but still made 62% on the trade. Not bad for less than 24 hours. If Goldman is right, then the Nov 70s or 75's could be a steal today. TODD F.

    What a sweet way to get introduced to Momentum. My first trade based on your picks and it a 2X. Thank you! PAUL H.

    “Limit order was set at 1.60 on RIMM so it sold. I may have left some money on the table but you can't go broke making a profit. That was a fun trade. Thank you. Good call. I’ve been watching and trading Rick's advice since March. It’s usually a fun ride, but I give him heck when it's wrong to. :) ” NOEL

    “Your service rocks! I made bank on Dendreon last week! The other thing I have to say is that it took me quite a while to find a REAL options trading service like yours. Most of what’s out there is 99% scam and very sketchy. Momentum Options Trading is the first service I found that I can trust and seriously make money with.” CHRISTIAN

    “I made $420.00 on ANF in 2 days. Thanks for the trade and updates on getting out of the trade.” JOHN

    “I did follow a lot of your trades with 1-2 contracts per trade and YTD I’m up 108%. I try not to follow blindly by not entering all of your trades and sometimes entering the ones you don’t. I entered AIG a few weeks ago against recommendation – that one hurt.” CHARLES M.

    “I have been following you for several months and am interested in the new service. I hate to see the free service go away but as they say, “all good things must come to an end”. My ability to join will be greatly influenced by the monthly fee so I’m very curious to see the new prices. Thanks for making April a great month for me and my family.” BRYAN C.

    “I have really enjoyed the past month since finding your blog. You have made some great calls. I would appreciate info. on the new options mentoring program. Thanks.” JOHN H.

    “Hi Rick, I have been following your blog for several months now and I would like to be including on the list for your new service and to receive more information about it. And yes I was a Dendreon winner with your tips. Turned $280 into $7700, and literally saved my butt.” JEFFREY

    “I made over 6k on your Dendreon trade, and I’m very interested in learning how you pick and trade options. Sign me up.” ED

    “Rick – Wow what a day! I got in at the Dendreon calls at $2.25. Thanks to for your advice. I appreciate that. This company has a lock on this type of therapy and no one else in the world is close. Kind of reminds me of the type of companies that Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet suggest that investments be made in. Companies that can build a moat around their business model, that allows them to charge a premium for their product or service. In other words - a monopoly.” GREG

    “Hi Rick, Thank you so much for the Dendreon trade, I made almost $10,000 with that trade with a little over $2,000 investment. You have shown me the power of options trading. Again, thank you so much for all your inputs.” KEN

    “Hi Rick, thanks for the encouragement to play the dendreon calls! did freaking great! Got in the first lot at $1.44 on 3-24-09, sold at $2.45, 70% not bad. Bought it back at $2.30 on 4-7-09 closed out on 4-14-09 for 454% gain! Wow! I love it when that happens. So, thanks the encouragement to get back in when others were saying sell, sell, sell. Keep up the good work.” GARETT

    “Rick – Thanks for Dendreon – it has made all the headlines today! I missed on RIMM earlier, but I’ve been holding onto DNDN calls since 3rd week March. Of course today it all paid off today, as DNDN rocketed up.” TERENCE

    Jan. 31 2012
    Rick, new member...Studied all current trades, did some chart work,picked ZNGA, PEP, MGM...Sold on Feb. 2 for $3600.00 profit...Cost for 1-year membership to your newsletter was less than $1000.00..All I have to say..Thank you. John H –

    Rick, I purchased 10 contracts of the Nike March 85 puts Thursday afternoon for $2.00. Thing is, I was upset because the puts went down to $1.60 or so before the market closed. Well, needless to say Nike didn’t impress Wall Street and when I turned on the computer this morning the puts were worth $7.10! Sold them for a $5,100 profit!. Thanks again, you are the MAN. Chuck J-

    Hi Rick,

    I will start off with a thank you for your time and dedication to all
    the research you and your team commit yourself to. This is not me just being excited about the profits I have accumulated aka (bank) ! You have helped me get back to the passion I had of researching stocks/options. Keith N-

    Hi Rick,

    I want to share my great results on GMCR. Based on your comments on February 15th, I bought 20 options at $0.28. They closed today at $7.00, which is a 2,300% gain. My $560 dollars turned into $14,000 in less than a month. In decades of trading, this is my single best trade ever. Thank you! By the way, the Dow was down 228 points today and I could care less. What a great trade. It proves the amazing power of options. I am so grateful for your service, which calls it straight all the time, your options trading manual, and most of all, your amazing skill
    at finding winning trades. I have attached a copy of the trade from
    my brokerage screen.

    Hi Rick,

    Wow!! my account it up 70% since i joined last month and market is going the opposite direction. Really appreciate your service. I just wanted to drop a note to say THANK YOU. Hope to be with you guys for a very long time. Mel


    Great call on Fosl I bought the may 120 puts for 3.70 yesterday morning just sold for $32.00 today
    Keep up the great work
    Thank you, Henri

    Rick –

    I bought 10 Deckers Outdoor (DECK) May 55 puts at $0.50 on 4/26/12 and sold them on 4/27/12 for $1.65. I made $1150 in one day. Thanks. I knew something good would happen sooner or later.
    HOW THE HECK did you know Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) was going to go down 20 points???!!!! I bought 10 of the May 35 puts at $0.49 and then 5 more at .30. I sold them at 5.80. Thank you again.
    You have made a believer out of me. Alan

    Rick –
    I have only been a member for about 6 weeks but I have done well on most of the trades. My first two were QQQ and SPY a month ago and since then I've gotten into the groove and been doing well.
    I try to execute the trades that you recommend as soon as you send them out, sometimes I can't and I miss the Entry price. However, sometimes when I miss the Entry, the price goes down and I get a better price.
    That's exactly what happened with GMCR.
    You recommended it at around $.81 I think, but by the time I got to it, the price was $.27. I bought 100 Puts on Wednesday May 2, 2012 and sold half of them 24 hours later at $5.95 for a nice 2,203% gain. As per your recommendation, as GMCR went above $30 I sold the remaining 50 Puts at $5.50 for a slightly less 2,037% gain.
    On average that one trade netted me a 2,120% gain, entirely based on YOUR recommendation (and a little bit of luck). To put this in real terms, I risked $2,700 on Wednesday and pocketed $54,550 just 24 hours later.
    So uhh, let's do that again real soon!!
    Feel free to use my name. The tax guys have me on speed-dial already anyway. Dennis

    That was awesome on your GMCR pick, I know how risky it can been holding into earnings but you pulled it off. 
    I just started my autotrading with you today and am in on your QQQ play. I look forward this service. 
    I have a busy career and I have tried to follow and trade throughout the day and found it too hard. I hope you continue to have a great year, I plan to go along for the ride. I am starting slow but will pile more in once I have secured some profits. 
    Keep up the good work your trading has been spot on. I am sure you paid your dues to get this point in your career. Anthony


    Great call on GMCR!  I have been trading for about 15 years actively.  This may be the best trade I ever made.  Got in on Monday, April 30 and the stock was up from when you recommended it.  It went up further after I got in.  Here are the facts:
    Monday, April 30th: Bought 15 June 37's at $1.25= $1900 approx
    Thursday, May 3rd: Sold 15 June 37's at $9.30=$13,950
    Gain for the week: $12,050.
    I understand you will not get them all right.  It’s important to ride those winners and as you could tell from my selling price, I sold when the stock went to $28.10, so left a little on the table.  Who can complain.
    Keep the suggestions coming, looking for another jump on your FSLR, one that I have been riding very hard.
    Best regards, Bob

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